Hematological Markers as Predictors of ICU Admission in COVID-19 Patients: A Case-Control Study From a Tertiary Hospital.

BACKGROUND

COVID-19 illness severity ranges from mild- to life-threatening cases necessitating critical care. Rapid prediction of disease severity and the need for critical care support in COVID-19 patients remain essential, not only for current management but also for preparedness in future pandemics. This study aimed to assess hematological parameters as predictors of intensive care unit (ICU) admission and survival in COVID-19 patients, providing insights applicable to a broad range of infectious diseases.

METHODS

A case-control study was conducted at Hospital Raja Perempuan Zainab II, a tertiary referral hospital in Kelantan, Malaysia, from March 2020 to August 2021. Demographics, clinical, and laboratory data were retrieved from patients' medical records. Statistical analyses, including the Chi-square (χ2) test, independent t-tests, and simple and multiple logistic regressions, were used to analyze the data. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was conducted to assess the accuracy of the predictors.

RESULTS

The median age was 51 years, with females comprising 56.7% (n=148) and males 43.3% (n=113). A total of 88.5% of patients were admitted to non-ICU wards, with a mortality rate of 5.7%. Significant differences were observed in the distribution of hematological parameters between ICU-admitted and non-admitted patients. Neutrophil (OR: 23.96, 95% CI: 7.296-78.675) and white blood cell (WBC) count (OR: 36.677, 95% CI: 2.086-644.889) were the most significant predictors for ICU admission and survival, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

WBC and neutrophil counts exhibited high predictive value for ICU admission, while WBC, neutrophil, lymphocyte, and immature granulocyte (IG) counts were significant predictors of survival status among COVID-19 patients. These findings underscore the continued relevance of hematological markers in managing severe respiratory infections and improving critical care triage, with implications for current and future healthcare challenges.