Division of Tropical Health and Medicine, James Cook University, Queensland, Australia.
Department of Medicine, Newcastle University Medicine Malaysia, Johor, Malaysia.
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2024 Aug 12;8(8):CD014869. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD014869.pub2.
RATIONALE: Hepatocellular carcinoma is the most common type of liver cancer, accounting for 70% to 85% of individuals with primary liver cancer. Tamoxifen has been evaluated in randomised clinical trials in people with hepatocellular cancer. The reported results have been inconsistent. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the benefits and harms of tamoxifen or tamoxifen plus any other anticancer drugs compared with no intervention, placebo, any type of standard care, or alternative treatment in adults with hepatocellular carcinoma, irrespective of sex, administered dose, type of formulation, and duration of treatment. SEARCH METHODS: We searched the Cochrane Hepato-Biliary Group Controlled Trials Register, CENTRAL, MEDLINE, Embase, three other databases, and major trials registries, and handsearched reference lists up to 26 March 2024. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Parallel-group randomised clinical trials including adults (aged 18 years and above) diagnosed with advanced or unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma. Had we found cross-over trials, we would have included only the first trial phase. We did not consider data from quasi-randomised trials for analysis. OUTCOMES: Our critical outcomes were all-cause mortality, serious adverse events, and health-related quality of life. Our important outcomes were disease progression, and adverse events considered non-serious. RISK OF BIAS: We assessed risk of bias using the RoB 2 tool. SYNTHESIS METHODS: We used standard Cochrane methods and Review Manager. We meta-analysed the outcome data at the longest follow-up. We presented the results of dichotomous outcomes as risk ratios (RR) and continuous data as mean difference (MD), with 95% confidence intervals (CI) using the random-effects model. We summarised the certainty of evidence using GRADE. INCLUDED STUDIES: We included 10 trials that randomised 1715 participants with advanced, unresectable, or terminal stage hepatocellular carcinoma. Six were single-centre trials conducted in Hong Kong, Italy, and Spain, while three were conducted as multicentre trials in single countries (France, Italy, and Spain), and one trial was conducted in nine countries in the Asia-Pacific region (Australia, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea, and Thailand). The experimental intervention was tamoxifen in all trials. The control interventions were no intervention (three trials), placebo (six trials), and symptomatic treatment (one trial). Co-interventions were best supportive care (three trials) and standard care (one trial). The remaining six trials did not provide this information. The number of participants in the trials ranged from 22 to 496 (median 99), mean age was 63.7 (standard deviation 4.18) years, and mean proportion of men was 74.7% (standard deviation 42%). Follow-up was three months to five years. SYNTHESIS OF RESULTS: Ten trials evaluated oral tamoxifen at five different dosages (ranging from 20 mg per day to 120 mg per day). All trials investigated one or more of our outcomes. We performed meta-analyses when at least two trials assessed similar types of tamoxifen versus similar control interventions. Eight trials evaluated all-cause mortality at varied follow-up points. Tamoxifen versus the control interventions (i.e. no treatment, placebo, and symptomatic treatment) results in little to no difference in mortality between one and five years (RR 0.99, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.06; 8 trials, 1364 participants; low-certainty evidence). In total, 488/682 (71.5%) participants died in the tamoxifen groups versus 487/682 (71.4%) in the control groups. The separate analysis results for one, between two and three, and five years were comparable to the analysis result for all follow-up periods taken together. The evidence is very uncertain about the effect of tamoxifen versus no treatment on serious adverse events at one-year follow-up (RR 0.44, 95% CI 0.19 to 1.06; 1 trial, 36 participants; very low-certainty evidence). A total of 5/20 (25.0%) participants in the tamoxifen group versus 9/16 (56.3%) participants in the control group experienced serious adverse events. One trial measured health-related quality of life at baseline and at nine months' follow-up, using the Spitzer Quality of Life Index. The evidence is very uncertain about the effect of tamoxifen versus no treatment on health-related quality of life (MD 0.03, 95% CI -0.45 to 0.51; 1 trial, 420 participants; very low-certainty evidence). A second trial found no appreciable difference in global health-related quality of life scores. No further data were provided. Tamoxifen versus control interventions (i.e. no treatment, placebo, or symptomatic treatment) results in little to no difference in disease progression between one and five years' follow-up (RR 1.02, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.14; 4 trials, 720 participants; low-certainty evidence). A total of 191/358 (53.3%) participants in the tamoxifen group versus 198/362 (54.7%) participants in the control group had progression of hepatocellular carcinoma. Tamoxifen versus control interventions (i.e. no treatment or placebo) may have little to no effect on adverse events considered non-serious during treatment, but the evidence is very uncertain (RR 1.17, 95% CI 0.45 to 3.06; 4 trials, 462 participants; very low-certainty evidence). A total of 10/265 (3.8%) participants in the tamoxifen group versus 6/197 (3.0%) participants in the control group had adverse events considered non-serious. We identified no trials with participants diagnosed with early stages of hepatocellular carcinoma. We identified no ongoing trials. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Based on the low- and very low-certainty evidence, the effects of tamoxifen on all-cause mortality, disease progression, serious adverse events, health-related quality of life, and adverse events considered non-serious in adults with advanced, unresectable, or terminal stage hepatocellular carcinoma when compared with no intervention, placebo, or symptomatic treatment could not be established. Our findings are mostly based on trials at high risk of bias with insufficient power (fewer than 100 participants), and a lack of trial data on clinically important outcomes. Therefore, firm conclusions cannot be drawn. Trials comparing tamoxifen administered with any other anticancer drug versus standard care, usual care, or alternative treatment as control interventions were lacking. Evidence on the benefits and harms of tamoxifen in participants at the early stages of hepatocellular carcinoma was also lacking. FUNDING: This Cochrane review had no dedicated funding. REGISTRATION: Protocol available via DOI: 10.1002/14651858.CD014869.
背景:肝细胞癌是最常见的肝癌类型,占原发性肝癌的 70%至 85%。他莫昔芬已在肝细胞癌患者的随机临床试验中进行了评估。报告的结果不一致。
目的:评估他莫昔芬或他莫昔芬联合任何其他抗癌药物与不干预、安慰剂、任何类型的标准护理或替代治疗相比,在成人肝细胞癌中的益处和危害,无论性别、给予的剂量、制剂类型和治疗持续时间如何。
检索方法:我们检索了 Cochrane 肝胆病组对照试验注册库、CENTRAL、MEDLINE、Embase、其他三个数据库和主要试验注册库,并检索了截至 2024 年 3 月 26 日的参考文献列表。
纳入标准:包括诊断为晚期或不可切除肝细胞癌的成年患者(年龄 18 岁及以上)的平行组随机临床试验。如果我们发现了交叉试验,我们只纳入了第一个试验阶段。我们没有考虑对析因随机试验的数据进行分析。
结局:我们的关键结局是全因死亡率、严重不良事件和健康相关生活质量。我们的重要结局是疾病进展和被认为是非严重的不良事件。
偏倚风险评估:我们使用 RoB 2 工具评估了偏倚风险。
资料综合方法:我们使用标准的 Cochrane 方法和 Review Manager。我们在最长的随访时间进行了结局数据的荟萃分析。我们将二分类结局的结果表示为风险比(RR),将连续数据表示为均值差(MD),使用随机效应模型,置信区间(CI)为 95%。我们使用 GRADE 总结证据的确定性。
纳入研究:我们纳入了 10 项随机分配 1715 名晚期、不可切除或终末期肝细胞癌患者的试验。其中 6 项为在香港、意大利和西班牙进行的单中心试验,3 项为在法国、意大利和西班牙进行的多中心试验,1 项为在澳大利亚、香港、印度尼西亚、马来西亚、缅甸、新西兰、新加坡、韩国和泰国的亚太地区九个国家进行的试验。实验干预均为他莫昔芬。对照组为不干预(3 项试验)、安慰剂(6 项试验)和对症治疗(1 项试验)。共干预措施为最佳支持治疗(3 项试验)和标准护理(1 项试验)。其余 6 项试验未提供此信息。试验的参与者人数范围为 22 至 496(中位数 99),平均年龄为 63.7(标准差 4.18)岁,平均男性比例为 74.7%(标准差 42%)。随访时间为 3 个月至 5 年。
结果综合:10 项试验评估了五种不同剂量的口服他莫昔芬(范围为每天 20 毫克至 120 毫克)。所有试验均调查了我们的一个或多个结局。当至少两项试验评估了类似的他莫昔芬与类似的对照干预措施时,我们进行了荟萃分析。8 项试验评估了全因死亡率在不同的随访点。他莫昔芬与对照组(即无治疗、安慰剂和对症治疗)在 1 年至 5 年的死亡率之间几乎没有差异(RR 0.99,95% CI 0.92 至 1.06;8 项试验,1364 名参与者;低确定性证据)。共有 488/682(71.5%)名参与者在他莫昔芬组死亡,487/682(71.4%)名参与者在对照组死亡。单一、两到三个和五年的单独分析结果与所有随访期的分析结果相似。关于他莫昔芬与无治疗相比对 1 年随访时严重不良事件的影响的证据非常不确定(RR 0.44,95% CI 0.19 至 1.06;1 项试验,36 名参与者;非常低确定性证据)。他莫昔芬组有 5/20(25.0%)名参与者发生严重不良事件,对照组有 9/16(56.3%)名参与者发生严重不良事件。一项试验在基线和 9 个月随访时使用 Spitzer 生活质量指数评估了健康相关生活质量。关于他莫昔芬与无治疗相比对健康相关生活质量的影响的证据非常不确定(MD 0.03,95% CI -0.45 至 0.51;1 项试验,420 名参与者;非常低确定性证据)。第二项试验发现全球健康相关生活质量评分没有明显差异。没有提供进一步的数据。他莫昔芬与对照组(即无治疗、安慰剂或对症治疗)在 1 年至 5 年的随访中,疾病进展几乎没有差异(RR 1.02,95% CI 0.91 至 1.14;4 项试验,720 名参与者;低确定性证据)。他莫昔芬组有 191/358(53.3%)名参与者发生肝癌进展,对照组有 198/362(54.7%)名参与者发生肝癌进展。关于他莫昔芬与对照组(即无治疗或安慰剂)相比治疗期间被认为是非严重的不良事件的影响的证据非常不确定(RR 1.17,95% CI 0.45 至 3.06;4 项试验,462 名参与者;非常低确定性证据)。他莫昔芬组有 10/265(3.8%)名参与者发生被认为是非严重的不良事件,对照组有 6/197(3.0%)名参与者发生被认为是非严重的不良事件。我们没有发现针对早期肝细胞癌患者的试验。我们没有发现正在进行的试验。
作者结论:基于低和非常低确定性证据,无法确定他莫昔芬在晚期、不可切除或终末期肝细胞癌患者中与无干预、安慰剂或对症治疗相比,对全因死亡率、疾病进展、严重不良事件、健康相关生活质量和治疗期间被认为是非严重的不良事件的影响。我们的发现主要基于高偏倚风险的试验,这些试验的参与者人数不足 100 人,且缺乏对临床重要结局的试验数据。因此,无法得出确切的结论。比较他莫昔芬与任何其他抗癌药物联合标准护理、常规护理或替代治疗作为对照干预的试验缺乏。肝细胞癌早期患者的他莫昔芬的获益和危害的证据也缺乏。
经费:本 Cochrane 综述没有专门的资金。
注册:协议可通过 DOI 获得:10.1002/14651858.CD014869。
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