Department of Land Registry and Cadastre, School of Land Registry and Cadastre, Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli University, Ankara, Türkiye.
Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli University, Ankara, Türkiye.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Aug;31(39):52001-52016. doi: 10.1007/s11356-024-34143-7. Epub 2024 Aug 13.
In today's world, where the dramatic effects of climate change continue to increase, it is critical to turn from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources to achieve the CO emission reduction targets that countries have committed at the Paris Climate Agreement and COP 27 conference. This study analyzes the effects of macroeconomic factors, including economic growth, investments, and unemployment, on the transition to renewable energy in OECD countries. From 1996 to 2020, long-run relationships between variables were examined using advanced econometric methodologies for empirical analysis. For this purpose, panel data analysis, second-generation panel unit root tests, cross-sectional dependence tests, and panel cointegration tests were applied. Economically, in the long run, according to panel CCEMG and AMG estimator, while economic growth enhances the renewable energy transitions, investment does not statistically promote an impact on the renewable energy transitions. Renewable energy transition increases with unemployment. Moreover, the role of the considered variables in the renewable energy transition varies among country-specific. Within the framework of the results obtained, it has been proven that before determining policies for renewable energy transformation, it is necessary to do the necessary groundwork in the economy to increase economic growth and investments and reduce unemployment.
在当今世界，气候变化的剧烈影响持续加剧，将能源结构从化石燃料转向可再生能源以实现各国在《巴黎协定》和第 27 届缔约方会议上承诺的 CO2 减排目标至关重要。本研究分析了宏观经济因素，包括经济增长、投资和失业，对经合组织国家向可再生能源转型的影响。本研究使用先进的计量经济学方法对 1996 年至 2020 年期间的变量进行了长期关系的实证分析。为此，应用了面板数据分析、第二代面板单位根检验、横截面相关性检验和面板协整检验。从经济角度来看，从长期来看，根据面板 CCEMG 和 AMG 估计量，虽然经济增长促进了可再生能源的转型，但投资在统计上并没有促进可再生能源的转型。可再生能源转型随着失业率的增加而增加。此外，所考虑的变量在可再生能源转型中的作用因国家而异。在得出的结果框架内，已经证明，在确定可再生能源转型政策之前，有必要在经济中进行必要的基础工作，以提高经济增长和投资并降低失业率。
