Unidad Académica de Sistemas Arrecifales, Instituto de Ciencias del Mar y Limnología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Puerto Morelos 77580, Mexico.
Institute for Geosciences, Freie Universität Berlin, Berlin 12249, Germany.
Sci Adv. 2024 Aug 16;10(33):eado5107. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.ado5107. Epub 2024 Aug 14.
The southwestern tropical Pacific is a key center for the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), which regulates global climate. This study introduces a groundbreaking 627-year coral Sr/Ca sea surface temperature reconstruction from Fiji, representing the IPO's southwestern pole. Merging this record with other Fiji and central tropical Pacific records, we reconstruct the SST gradient between the southwestern and central Pacific (SWCP), providing a reliable proxy for IPO variability from 1370 to 1997. This reconstruction reveals distinct centennial-scale temperature trends and insights into Pacific-wide climate impacts and teleconnections. Notably, the 20th century conditions, marked by simultaneous basin-scale warming and weak tropical Pacific zonal-meridional gradients, deviate from trends observed during the past six centuries. Combined with model simulations, our findings reveal that a weak SWCP gradient most markedly affects IPO-related rainfall patterns in the equatorial Pacific. Persistent synchronous western and central Pacific warming rates could lead to further drying climate across the Coral Sea region, adversely affecting Pacific Island nations.
西南太平洋是海气相互作用的关键区域,是海气耦合模态——年代际太平洋振荡(IPO)的关键中心,其变化可影响全球气候。本研究利用斐济珊瑚重建了一项具有开创性的、长达 627 年的海表温度(SST)记录,代表了 IPO 的西南极。将该记录与斐济和中太平洋其他地区的记录相结合,重建了西南太平洋与中太平洋之间的 SST 梯度(SWCP),为 1370 年至 1997 年期间 IPO 的变化提供了可靠的代理。该重建揭示了明显的百年尺度温度趋势以及对太平洋范围内气候影响和遥相关的深入了解。值得注意的是,20 世纪的情况,以同时发生的盆地区域变暖以及热带太平洋纬向-经向梯度减弱为特征,与过去六百年观察到的趋势不同。与模型模拟相结合,我们的研究结果表明,SWCP 梯度较弱会显著影响赤道太平洋与 IPO 相关的降雨模式。西太平洋和中太平洋持续同步的变暖速度可能会导致珊瑚海地区的气候进一步干燥,对太平洋岛国产生不利影响。