Cai Wenju, Wu Lixin, Lengaigne Matthieu, Li Tim, McGregor Shayne, Kug Jong-Seong, Yu Jin-Yi, Stuecker Malte F, Santoso Agus, Li Xichen, Ham Yoo-Geun, Chikamoto Yoshimitsu, Ng Benjamin, McPhaden Michael J, Du Yan, Dommenget Dietmar, Jia Fan, Kajtar Jules B, Keenlyside Noel, Lin Xiaopei, Luo Jing-Jia, Martín-Rey Marta, Ruprich-Robert Yohan, Wang Guojian, Xie Shang-Ping, Yang Yun, Kang Sarah M, Choi Jun-Young, Gan Bolan, Kim Geon-Il, Kim Chang-Eun, Kim Sunyoung, Kim Jeong-Hwan, Chang Ping
Key Laboratory of Physical Oceanography-Institute for Advanced Ocean Studies, Ocean University of China and Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Yushan Road, Qingdao 266003, China.
Centre for Southern Hemisphere Oceans Research (CSHOR), CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Hobart 7004, TAS, Australia.
Science. 2019 Mar 1;363(6430). doi: 10.1126/science.aav4236.
The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which originates in the Pacific, is the strongest and most well-known mode of tropical climate variability. Its reach is global, and it can force climate variations of the tropical Atlantic and Indian Oceans by perturbing the global atmospheric circulation. Less appreciated is how the tropical Atlantic and Indian Oceans affect the Pacific. Especially noteworthy is the multidecadal Atlantic warming that began in the late 1990s, because recent research suggests that it has influenced Indo-Pacific climate, the character of the ENSO cycle, and the hiatus in global surface warming. Discovery of these pantropical interactions provides a pathway forward for improving predictions of climate variability in the current climate and for refining projections of future climate under different anthropogenic forcing scenarios.
起源于太平洋的厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)是热带气候变化最强且最著名的模式。它的影响范围遍及全球,能够通过扰动全球大气环流来引发热带大西洋和印度洋的气候变化。而热带大西洋和印度洋如何影响太平洋则较少受到关注。特别值得注意的是始于20世纪90年代末的大西洋多年代际变暖,因为近期研究表明它已经影响了印度-太平洋地区的气候、ENSO循环的特征以及全球表面变暖的停滞期。这些泛热带相互作用的发现为改进当前气候下气候变化的预测以及完善不同人为强迫情景下未来气候的预测提供了一条前进的道路。