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应用荒地火灾排放清单系统估算美国林地的火灾排放量。

Application of the wildland fire emissions inventory system to estimate fire emissions on forest lands of the United States.

作者信息

Smith James E, Billmire Michael, French Nancy H F, Domke Grant M

机构信息

USDA Forest Service, Northern Research Station, 271 Mast Road, Durham, NH, 03824, USA.

Michigan Technological University, Michigan Tech Research Institute, 3600 Green Ct., Suite 100, Ann Arbor, MI, 48105, USA.

出版信息

Carbon Balance Manag. 2024 Aug 14;19(1):26. doi: 10.1186/s13021-024-00274-0.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Forests are significant terrestrial biomes for carbon storage, and annual carbon accumulation of forest biomass contributes offsets affecting net greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. The immediate loss of stored carbon through fire on forest lands reduces the annual offsets provided by forests. As such, the United States reporting includes annual estimates of direct fire emissions in conjunction with the overall forest stock and change estimates as a part of national greenhouse gas inventories within the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Forest fire emissions reported for the United States, such as the 129 Tg CO reported for 2022, are based on the Wildland Fire Emissions Inventory System (WFEIS). Current WFEIS estimates are included in the Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990-2022 published in 2024 by the United States Environmental Protection Agency. Here, we describe WFEIS the fire emissions inventory system we used to address current information needs, and an analysis to confirm compatibility of carbon mass between estimated forest fire emissions and carbon in forest stocks.

RESULTS

The summaries of emissions from forests are consistent with previous reports that show rates and interannual variability in emissions and forest land area burned are generally greater in recent years relative to the 1990s. Both emissions and interannual variability are greater in the western United States. The years with the highest CO emissions from forest fires on the 48 conterminous states plus Alaska were 2004, 2005, and 2015. In some years, Alaska emissions exceed those of the 48 conterminous states, such as in 2022, for example. Comparison of forest fire emission to forest carbon stocks indicate there is unlikely any serious disconnect between inventory and fire emissions estimates.

CONCLUSIONS

The WFEIS system is a user-driven approach made available via a web browser. Model results are compatible with the scope and reporting needs of the annual national greenhouse gas inventories.

摘要

背景

森林是重要的陆地生物群落,用于碳储存,森林生物量的年碳积累有助于抵消大气中的温室气体净排放。林地火灾导致储存碳的直接损失,减少了森林提供的年抵消量。因此,美国的报告将直接火灾排放的年度估计与森林总蓄积量及变化估计相结合,作为《联合国气候变化框架公约》下国家温室气体清单的一部分。美国报告的森林火灾排放,如2022年报告的129太克二氧化碳,基于野地火灾排放清单系统(WFEIS)。当前的WFEIS估计值包含在美国环境保护局2024年发布的《美国温室气体排放与汇清单:1990 - 2022》中。在此,我们描述了用于满足当前信息需求的火灾排放清单系统WFEIS,以及一项用于确认森林火灾排放估计值与森林蓄积碳量之间碳质量兼容性的分析。

结果

森林排放总结与先前报告一致,表明近年来相对于20世纪90年代,排放速率和年际变率以及燃烧的林地面积总体上更大。美国西部的排放和年际变率都更大。48个毗连州加上阿拉斯加森林火灾产生二氧化碳排放量最高的年份是2004年、2005年和2015年。在某些年份,阿拉斯加的排放量超过48个毗连州,例如2022年。森林火灾排放与森林碳储量的比较表明,清单和火灾排放估计之间不太可能存在严重脱节。

结论

WFEIS系统是一种通过网络浏览器提供的用户驱动方法。模型结果与年度国家温室气体清单的范围和报告需求兼容。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c209/11325709/b26f1a2280ff/13021_2024_274_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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