Blood Biomarkers Predict 10-Year Clinical Outcomes in Adult Patients With Congenital Heart Disease.

BACKGROUND

The adult congenital heart disease (ACHD) population is growing and risk prediction is important to predict adverse outcome and consult patients during their lifecourse.

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to describe the long-term prognostic value of blood biomarkers in ACHD.

METHODS

In this prospective observational cohort study, 602 patients with moderate or complex ACHD were included (median age 32.5 years [IQR: 24.7-41.2], 42% female, 90% New York Heart Association I). N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitive-troponin T, growth differentiation factor 15, high-sensitive-C-reactive protein, suppression of tumorigenicity-2 and galectin-3, as well as full blood count, renal function, LDL, and HDL were measured. Cox models were applied to relate the selected biomarkers with the primary end point of all-cause mortality and secondary end point of mortality or heart failure. Standardized HRs adjusted for relevant prognostic factors, including age, sex, and complexity of diagnosis, were reported.

RESULTS

Abnormal biomarker levels were present in 424 (70.4%) patients. During a median follow-up of 10.1 years, 41 (6.8%) patients died and 81 (13.5%) developed heart failure. Associations were observed between the primary and secondary end point and red cell distribution width, NT-proBNP, and growth differentiation factor 15. In a multibiomarker model, only NT-proBNP remained associated with mortality (HR: 2.74; 95% CI: 2.01-3.74). NT-proBNP significantly improved the C-statistic of the clinical prediction model (0.85-0.92). Based on NT-proBNP alone, low-risk patients could be identified. Patients with NT-proBNP <76 ng/L showed a 10-year heart failure-free survival of 98.5%.

CONCLUSIONS

Blood biomarkers have prognostic value in ACHD. NT-proBNP improves risk prediction and is able to identify low-risk patients. Its routine use should be implemented in ACHD.