School of Economics and Management, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai, China.
School of Management, Gachon University, Gyeonggi-do, South Korea.
PLoS One. 2024 Aug 19;19(8):e0307770. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0307770. eCollection 2024.
The Yangtze River Delta (YRD) ports are pivotal in shaping the Yangtze River Economic Belt and advancing urban economies across China. This article utilizes panel data from 20 cities with ports in the YRD area, spanning from 2011 to 2020, using the spatial Durbin model to explore how these ports influence urban economic growth. The findings indicate that: (1) The YRD ports significantly contribute to economic growth in both the port cities and their surrounding areas, with the indirect impact on neighboring cities being more substantial than the direct effect on the cities themselves; (2) The beneficial spillover effects of the YRD ports on the economic growth of nearby cities vary in intensity over different spatial ranges, marked by distinct boundary effects and geographical attenuation. The influence extends up to approximately 110km; (3) Within the various elements impacting the economic growth of cities in the YRD, financial development prominently exhibits a threshold effect on urban economic growth; (4) Upon analyzing heterogeneity, inland and coastal port cities manifest divergent spillover effects, with inland port cities predominantly exerting a positive spillover on adjacent regions. Accordingly, in order to eventually achieve the shared prosperity of the region's economy, it is recommended that a strong top-level design be established and that efforts be made to transform the YRD region into a core region a diffusion and driving effect.
长三角港口在塑造长江经济带和推动中国城市经济发展方面发挥着关键作用。本文利用长三角地区 20 个港口城市 2011 年至 2020 年的面板数据,采用空间杜宾模型,探讨了这些港口如何影响城市经济增长。研究结果表明:(1)长三角港口对港口城市及其周边地区的经济增长都有显著贡献,对邻近城市的间接影响大于对自身城市的直接影响;(2)长三角港口对周边城市经济增长的有益溢出效应在不同的空间范围内强度不同,具有明显的边界效应和地理衰减,影响范围约为 110 公里;(3)在影响长三角城市经济增长的各个因素中,金融发展对城市经济增长表现出显著的门槛效应;(4)通过异质性分析,发现内陆和沿海港口城市的溢出效应存在差异,内陆港口城市对相邻地区的正向溢出效应更为明显。因此,为了最终实现区域经济的共同繁荣,建议建立强有力的顶层设计,努力将长三角地区打造成核心区域,发挥扩散和带动作用。