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迈向世界卫生组织全球儿童癌症倡议的2030年儿童癌症生存目标:一项生态学横断面研究。

Towards attainment of the 2030 goal for childhood cancer survival for the World Health Organization Global Initiative for Childhood Cancer: An ecological, cross-sectional study.

作者信息

Smith Emily R, Cotache-Condor Cesia, Leraas Harold, Truche Paul, Ward Zachary J, Stefan Cristina, Force Lisa, Bhakta Nickhill, Rice Henry E

机构信息

Duke Global Health Institute, Durham, North Carolina, United States of America.

Duke Center for Global Surgery and Health Equity, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, United States of America.

出版信息

PLOS Glob Public Health. 2024 Aug 19;4(8):e0002530. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0002530. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

The World Health Organization (WHO) recently launched the Global Initiative for Childhood Cancer (GICC), with the goal of attaining at least 60% cancer survival for children worldwide by the year 2030. This study aims to describe the global patterns of childhood cancer survival in 2019 to help guide progress in attaining the GICC target goal. In this ecological, cross-sectional study, we used 5-year net childhood cancer survival (2015-2019) data from a prior micro-modeling study from 197 countries and territories. Descriptive statistics were used to analyze the patterns of overall childhood cancer survival and survival for each of the six cancer tracer diagnoses as proposed by the GICC. We used hot spot analysis to identify geographic clusters of high and low cancer survival. Most high-income countries reached at least 60% (92%, n = 59/64), net childhood cancer survival at baseline. No lower-middle-income or low-income country reached at least 60% overall cancer survival at baseline. The South-East Asia region had the highest proportion of countries that did not achieve at least 60% survival at baseline (100%, n = 10/10), followed by the African region (98%, n = 49/50). For each cancer tracer diagnosis, we found the highest number of countries that have achieved at least 60% survival was for Burkitt lymphoma (44%, n = 87/197) followed by acute lymphocytic leukemia (41%, n = 80/197).Hot spot analysis showed the highest overall survival was concentrated in North America and Europe, while the lowest survival was concentrated in Sub-Saharan Africa and South-East Asia.A majority of LMICs had not reached the WHO target goal of at least 60% survival from childhood cancer at baseline in 2019, with variable success for the six childhood cancer tracer diagnoses of the GICC. These findings provide baseline assessment of individual country performance to help achieve the GICC goal of 60% overall cancer survival globally by 2030.

摘要

世界卫生组织(WHO)最近发起了全球儿童癌症倡议(GICC),目标是到2030年使全球儿童癌症生存率至少达到60%。本研究旨在描述2019年全球儿童癌症生存模式,以帮助指导实现GICC目标的进展。在这项生态学横断面研究中,我们使用了来自之前一项针对197个国家和地区的微观建模研究中的5年儿童癌症净生存率(2015 - 2019年)数据。采用描述性统计分析全球儿童癌症总体生存模式以及GICC提议的六种癌症追踪诊断各自的生存模式。我们使用热点分析来确定癌症生存高低的地理集群。大多数高收入国家在基线时儿童癌症净生存率至少达到了60%(92%,n = 59/64)。没有一个中低收入或低收入国家在基线时总体癌症生存率至少达到60%。东南亚地区未在基线时实现至少60%生存率的国家比例最高(100%,n = 10/10),其次是非洲地区(98%,n = 49/50)。对于每种癌症追踪诊断,我们发现生存率至少达到60%的国家数量最多的是伯基特淋巴瘤(44%,n = 87/197),其次是急性淋巴细胞白血病(41%,n = 80/197)。热点分析表明总体生存率最高的集中在北美和欧洲,而生存率最低的集中在撒哈拉以南非洲和东南亚。大多数低收入和中等收入国家在2019年基线时未达到WHO规定的儿童癌症至少60%生存率的目标,GICC的六种儿童癌症追踪诊断取得的成功程度各不相同。这些发现为各国的表现提供了基线评估,以帮助实现到2030年全球总体癌症生存率达到60%的GICC目标。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/eebb/11332931/e3d87d9b6743/pgph.0002530.g001.jpg

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