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基于机器学习的微博主观幸福感评估工具的开发及其心理意义:评价性与解释性研究。

Developing a machine learning-based instrument for subjective well-being assessment on Weibo and its psychological significance: An evaluative and interpretive research.

机构信息

Beijing Normal University, Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Department of Psychology, Zhuhai, China.

School of Data Science, City University of Hong Kong, China.

出版信息

Appl Psychol Health Well Being. 2024 Nov;16(4):2246-2265. doi: 10.1111/aphw.12590. Epub 2024 Aug 21.

Abstract

Demystifying machine learning (ML) approaches through the synergy of psychology and artificial intelligence can achieve a balance between predictive and explanatory power in model development while enhancing rigor in validation and reporting standards. Accordingly, this study aimed to bridge this research gap by developing a subjective well-being (SWB) prediction model on Weibo, serving as a psychological assessment instrument and explaining the model construction based on psychological knowledge. The model establishment involved the collection of SWB scores and posts from 1,427 valid Weibo users. Multiple machine learning algorithms were employed to train the model and fine-tune its parameters. The optimal model was selected by comparing its criterion validity and split-half reliability performance. Furthermore, SHAP values were calculated to rank the importance of features, which were then used for model interpretation. The criterion validity for the three dimensions of SWB ranged from 0.50 to 0.52 (P < 0.001), and the split-half reliability ranged from 0.94 to 0.96 (P < 0.001). The identified relevant features were related to four main aspects: cultural values, emotions, morality, and time and space. This study expands the application scope of SWB-related psychological theories from a data-driven perspective and provides a theoretical reference for further well-being prediction.

摘要

通过心理学和人工智能的协同作用来揭开机器学习 (ML) 方法的神秘面纱,可以在模型开发中实现预测能力和解释能力之间的平衡,同时提高验证和报告标准的严谨性。因此,本研究旨在通过在微博上开发一个主观幸福感 (SWB) 预测模型来填补这一研究空白,该模型作为一种心理评估工具,并基于心理学知识解释模型构建。模型的建立涉及从 1427 名有效微博用户中收集 SWB 得分和帖子。使用多种机器学习算法来训练模型并调整其参数。通过比较标准有效性和半分割可靠性性能来选择最佳模型。此外,还计算了 SHAP 值来对特征的重要性进行排名,然后用于模型解释。SWB 的三个维度的标准有效性范围为 0.50 到 0.52(P<0.001),半分割可靠性范围为 0.94 到 0.96(P<0.001)。确定的相关特征与四个主要方面有关:文化价值观、情绪、道德以及时间和空间。本研究从数据驱动的角度扩展了 SWB 相关心理理论的应用范围,并为进一步的幸福感预测提供了理论参考。

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