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深入了解牙齿年龄估计:介绍来自南非黑人人口基于改良古斯塔夫森标准的多元回归数据。

Insights into dental age estimation: introducing multiple regression data from a Black South African population on modified gustafson's criteria.

作者信息

Rudolphi Fabian, Steffens Laurin, Shay Denys, Smit Chané, Robinson Liam, Bernitz Herman, Schmeling Andreas, Timme Maximilian

机构信息

Institute of Legal Medicine, University Hospital Münster, Röntgenstraße 23, 48149, Münster, Germany.

Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 677 Huntington Ave, Boston, MA, 02115, USA.

出版信息

Int J Legal Med. 2025 Jan;139(1):143-155. doi: 10.1007/s00414-024-03312-1. Epub 2024 Aug 22.

DOI:10.1007/s00414-024-03312-1
PMID:39168896
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11732868/
Abstract

Dental Age Estimation (DAE) is an effective instrument of the rule of law for verifying dubious age claims in living individuals. Once tooth development is complete, only degenerative dental characteristics can be used for this purpose. The influence of ethnicity on these degenerative dental characteristics has not been clarified.Degenerative changes were examined using modified Gustafson's criteria including secondary dentin formation, cementum apposition, periodontal recession and attrition using the Olze et al. (2012) staging scales. Orthopantomograms of 1882 black South Africans, consisting of 934 females and 948 males, from 12.00 to 40.96 years of chronological age were utilized. Two independent examiners performed the evaluations, with one of the two evaluating all radiographs twice.The relationship between individual characteristics and chronological age was analyzed using multiple regression analysis with chronological age as the dependent variable. The resulting R values ranged from 0.22 to 0.35, and the standard error of estimate were between 6.6 and 7.3 years. The correlation with age was consistently lower for females compared to males. The characteristic of cementum apposition emerged as critical in this population, due to a particularly low correlation with age and observer agreements partly in the "slight" range. The formula's values for the correlation with age were in general below the literature values for other populations. Overall, the limited precision of the age estimation by the formulae presented, especially for females, must be emphasized. The question of whether ethnicity per se exerts an influence on the characteristics in question, or whether the different socio-economic status, which encompasses factors such as nutrition and healthcare, is the determining factor, needs to be assessed in future studies.

摘要

牙齿年龄估计(DAE)是法治的一种有效手段,用于核实在世个体可疑的年龄声明。一旦牙齿发育完成,只有退行性牙齿特征可用于此目的。种族对这些退行性牙齿特征的影响尚未明确。使用改良的古斯塔夫森标准检查退行性变化,包括继发性牙本质形成、牙骨质附着、牙周退缩和磨耗,并采用奥尔泽等人(2012年)的分期量表。利用了1882名南非黑人的曲面断层片,其中包括934名女性和948名男性,年龄在12.00至40.96岁之间。两名独立的检查人员进行评估,其中一人对所有X光片进行两次评估。以实际年龄为因变量,使用多元回归分析分析个体特征与实际年龄之间的关系。所得的R值范围为0.22至0.35,估计标准误差在6.6至7.3岁之间。与男性相比,女性与年龄的相关性始终较低。在该人群中,牙骨质附着特征显得至关重要,因为其与年龄的相关性特别低,且观察者之间的一致性部分处于“轻微”范围内。该公式与年龄的相关性值总体低于其他人群的文献值。总体而言,必须强调所提出的公式进行年龄估计的精度有限,尤其是对女性而言。种族本身是否对相关特征产生影响,或者不同的社会经济地位(包括营养和医疗保健等因素)是否是决定性因素,这一问题需要在未来的研究中进行评估。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a0b0/11732868/f4dd05147490/414_2024_3312_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a0b0/11732868/572a3ce0d588/414_2024_3312_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a0b0/11732868/1cccd0400c43/414_2024_3312_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a0b0/11732868/e72ac6a4904a/414_2024_3312_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a0b0/11732868/f4dd05147490/414_2024_3312_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a0b0/11732868/572a3ce0d588/414_2024_3312_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a0b0/11732868/1cccd0400c43/414_2024_3312_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a0b0/11732868/e72ac6a4904a/414_2024_3312_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a0b0/11732868/f4dd05147490/414_2024_3312_Fig4_HTML.jpg

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