Recurrent vascular events and mortality outcomes in patients with known atrial fibrillation, compared to atrial fibrillation detected early after stroke.

INTRODUCTION

Atrial fibrillation (AF) detected after stroke (AFDAS) may represent a distinct clinical entity to that of known AF (KAF). However, there is limited long-term outcome data available for patients with AFDAS. More information regarding prognosis in AFDAS is required to inform future trial design in these patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We used data (2015-2019) from a national prospective stroke registry of consecutive patients with acute ischaemic stroke and AF. AFDAS was defined as a new diagnosis of AF after stroke detected on electrocardiograph or cardiac monitoring. The co-primary endpoints were: (1) all-cause mortality; (2) recurrent major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) at 3 years. Secondary endpoints were: (1) recurrent stroke; (2) functional outcome at discharge; (3) presence of co-existing stroke mechanisms.

RESULTS

583 patients were included. After a median follow-up of 2.65 years (cumulative 1064 person-years) 309 patients died and 23 had recurrent MACE. Compared with AFDAS, KAF was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality (adjusted Hazard Ratio (aHR) 1.56, 95% CI 1.12-2.18), a higher prevalence of co-existing stroke mechanisms (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.28, 95% CI 1.14-4.59), but not poor functional outcome (aOR 1.61, 95% CI 0.98-2.64). A trend towards a higher risk of MACE was observed in patients with KAF, but this was limited by statistical power (aHR 2.90, 95% CI 0.67-12.51). All 14 recurrent strokes occurred in the KAF group (Log-rank  = 0.03).

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION

These data provide further evidence that AFDAS differs to KAF with respect to risk of recurrent stroke, MACE, and all-cause mortality.