Department of Pediatrics, Kobe City Nishi-Kobe Medical Center, Kobe, Japan.
Department of Pediatrics, Kobe City Nishi-Kobe Medical Center, Kobe, Japan.
J Pediatr. 2024 Dec;275:114251. doi: 10.1016/j.jpeds.2024.114251. Epub 2024 Aug 22.
To compare the number and incidence of Kawasaki disease (KD) patients in years 2 through 4 of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, and determine the impact of 3 years of implementation of infection control measures and their subsequent relaxation on the epidemiology of KD in Japan.
We conducted a population-based, cohort study including consecutive KD patients in Kobe City between 2021 and 2023. We compared the incidence of KD cases, in relation to timing of infection control measures, as well as infectious disease cases based on a regional surveillance system. Data from a previous 2016 through 2020 study were used for comparison.
A total of 566 children with KD were identified during the study period. During the infection control period in 2021 to 2022, the incidence of KD remained low compared with the prepandemic level (281.3 and 327.5/100 000 children aged 0-4 years in 2021 to 2022 and 2016 through 2019, respectively), but a recovery trend began in the 0-1-year age group. During the relaxation period in 2023, the incidence of KD increased across a wide-age range, reaching the highest recorded in Japan (426.7/100 000 children aged 0-4 years), and the median age of onset increased to age 30 months. The resurgence of KD coincided with the epidemic patterns for multiple infectious diseases in 2023. The seasonality of KD observed before the pandemic was altered.
KD resurged in 2023 after relaxation of the prolonged coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic restrictions in Japan. This phenomenon coincided with the rise of multiple infectious diseases, and supports the pathogenesis of KD being triggered by infectious agents.
比较 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行的第 2 至第 4 年川崎病(KD)患者的数量和发病率,并确定感染控制措施实施 3 年后及其随后放松对日本 KD 流行病学的影响。
我们进行了一项基于人群的队列研究,纳入了 2021 年至 2023 年期间神户市连续的 KD 患者。我们比较了 KD 病例的发病率,与感染控制措施的时间有关,以及基于区域监测系统的传染病病例。使用之前 2016 年至 2020 年的研究数据进行比较。
在研究期间共确定了 566 名 KD 患儿。在 2021 年至 2022 年的感染控制期间,KD 的发病率仍低于大流行前水平(2021 年至 2022 年和 2016 年至 2019 年,0-4 岁儿童每 10 万儿童分别为 281.3 和 327.5),但在 0-1 岁年龄组开始出现恢复趋势。在 2023 年放松期间,KD 的发病率在广泛的年龄范围内增加,达到日本有记录以来的最高水平(0-4 岁儿童每 10 万儿童 426.7),发病年龄中位数增加到 30 个月。KD 的复发恰逢 2023 年多种传染病的流行模式。大流行前观察到的 KD 季节性发生了变化。
在日本 COVID-19 大流行限制放宽后,KD 在 2023 年复发。这种现象与多种传染病的上升同时发生,支持 KD 的发病机制是由感染因子触发的。