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COVID-19 的预防措施与川崎病发病率变化。

Prevention Measures for COVID-19 and Changes in Kawasaki Disease Incidence.

机构信息

Department of Pediatrics, University of Yamanashi.

Departments of Neonatology, Yamanashi Central Prefectural Hospital.

出版信息

J Epidemiol. 2021 Nov 5;31(11):573-580. doi: 10.2188/jea.JE20210132. Epub 2021 Sep 17.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Kawasaki disease is suspected to be triggered by previous infection. The prevention measures for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have reportedly reduced transmission of certain infectious diseases. Under these circumstances, the prevention measures for COVID-19 may reduce the incidence of Kawasaki disease.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study using registration datasets of patients with Kawasaki disease who were diagnosed in all 11 inpatient pediatric facilities in Yamanashi Prefecture. The eligible cases were 595 cases that were diagnosed before the COVID-19 pandemic (from January 2015 through February 2020) and 38 cases that were diagnosed during the COVID-19 pandemic (from March through November 2020). Incidence of several infectious disease were evaluated using data from the Infectious Disease Weekly Report conducted by the National Institute of Infectious Diseases.

RESULTS

Epidemics of various infectious diseases generally remained at low levels during the first 9 months (March through November 2020) of the COVID-19 pandemic. Moreover, the incidence of COVID-19 was 50-80 times lower than the incidence in European countries and the United States. The total number of 38 cases with Kawasaki disease for the 9 months during the COVID-19 pandemic was 46.3% (-3.5 standard deviations [SDs] of the average [82.0; SD, 12.7 cases] for the corresponding 9 months of the previous 5 years. None of the 38 cases was determined to be triggered by COVID-19 based on their medical histories and negative results of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 testing at admission.

CONCLUSION

These observations provide a new epidemiological evidence for the notion that Kawasaki disease is triggered by major infectious diseases in children.

摘要

背景

川崎病被认为是由先前的感染引发的。据报道,2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的预防措施减少了某些传染病的传播。在这种情况下,COVID-19 的预防措施可能会降低川崎病的发病率。

方法

我们使用在山梨县所有 11 家住院儿科设施中诊断出的川崎病患者的注册数据集进行了一项回顾性研究。合格病例为 595 例,这些病例在 COVID-19 大流行之前(2015 年 1 月至 2020 年 2 月)诊断出,38 例在 COVID-19 大流行期间(2020 年 3 月至 11 月)诊断出。使用日本传染病研究所进行的传染病周报中的数据评估了几种传染病的发病率。

结果

在 COVID-19 大流行的前 9 个月(2020 年 3 月至 11 月),各种传染病的流行通常处于低水平。此外,COVID-19 的发病率比欧洲国家和美国低 50-80 倍。COVID-19 大流行期间的 9 个月中,总共报告了 38 例川崎病病例,比前 5 年同期的 82.0 例(SD,12.7 例)的平均值低 46.3%(-3.5 个标准差)。根据他们的病史和入院时严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒 2 检测的阴性结果,38 例中没有一例被确定为 COVID-19 引发的。

结论

这些观察结果为川崎病是由儿童的主要传染病引发的观点提供了新的流行病学证据。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e549/8502831/1f358ee3bebb/je-31-573-g001.jpg

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