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在特殊的全球环境下,环境清洁和能源股。

Environmentally clean and dirty energy equities during extraordinary global conditions.

机构信息

Portsmouth Business School, University of Portsmouth, PO1 3DE, Hampshire, United Kingdom.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2024 Sep;368:122227. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122227. Epub 2024 Aug 24.

Abstract

I examine which extraordinary international events coincide with pronounced changes in the equity markets for some of the world's largest publicly traded suppliers on opposite sides of the global energy mix - oil and environmentally clean energy companies. First, I adapt an intuitively appealing non-parametric filter to empirically timestamp unexpected and prominent increases and decreases in a wide range of global indicators relevant to the international energy market. Then, I use such extraordinary conditions to characterise the performance of oil and environmentally clean energy equities, and their relationships. My findings suggest that jumps in the global stock market, international crude oil market shocks, and the US dollar real effective exchange rate, are the indicators that define the financial landscape during which considerable gains, losses, and instability across both types of energy markets materialise. In contrast, major elevated uncertainties related to geo-political risk and climate policy reflect relative stability in the equities of both oil and environmentally clean energy companies. Although these results imply that both energy assets are potentially lucrative hedging strategies for investors to exploit during heightened geo-political and climate policy uncertainties, clean energy equities offer market participants the option to combine profit maximising and sustainability objectives while minimising global energy security risks.

摘要

我考察了在全球能源组合中处于对立面的一些世界上最大型的公开交易供应商的股票市场——石油和环境清洁能源公司——的股价出现显著变化时,哪些特殊的国际事件与之同时发生。首先,我采用一种直观上引人入胜的非参数滤波器,从经验上标记出与国际能源市场相关的各种全球指标的意外和显著的增长和下降。然后,我利用这些特殊情况来描述石油和环境清洁能源股票的表现及其关系。我的研究结果表明,全球股市的跳跃、国际原油市场冲击和美元实际有效汇率是定义金融格局的指标,在这种格局下,两种能源市场都出现了相当大的收益、损失和不稳定。相比之下,与地缘政治风险和气候政策相关的重大不确定性反映了石油和环境清洁能源公司股票的相对稳定。尽管这些结果表明,在地缘政治和气候政策不确定性加剧期间,这两种能源资产都可能是投资者利用的有利可图的对冲策略,但清洁能源股票为市场参与者提供了一个选择,即可以在最大化利润和可持续性目标的同时,最小化全球能源安全风险。

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