Division of Pediatric Surgery, UCSF Benioff Children's Hospitals, and Department of Surgery, University of California, San Francisco.
Division of Emergency Medicine, Children's National Hospital, Washington, DC.
JAMA Netw Open. 2024 Aug 1;7(8):e2429826. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.29826.
Extreme weather has major implications for state and national health care systems; however, statistics examining weather-related injuries and fatalities are limited.
To examine the frequency and regional distribution of major disaster events (MDEs) in the US.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This ecologic cross-sectional study of MDEs occurring between January 1, 2006, and December 31, 2021, evaluated US data on all injuries and fatalities included in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Centers for Environmental Information Storm Events Database. The data analysis was performed between February 22, 2023, and April 1, 2024.
Major disaster events defined as an environmental event that caused either at least 50 injuries or at least 10 deaths.
All MDEs were evaluated using descriptive statistics for event type, property damage, and rural or urban classification according to the National Centers for Health Statistics Urban-Rural Classification Scheme for Counties. The location of events according to Administration for Strategic Preparedness and Response (ASPR) region and hospital bed capacity of ASPR regions were also examined.
Between 2006 and 2021, 11 159 storm events caused 42 254 injuries and 9760 deaths. Major disaster events accounted for 209 weather events (1.9%) but caused 19 463 weather-associated injuries (46.1%) and 2189 weather-associated deaths (22.4%). The majority of MDEs were caused by extreme heat (86 [41.1%]) and tornadoes (67 [32.1%]). While a larger proportion of MDEs occurred in urban areas (151 [75.1%]) vs rural areas (50 [24.9%]), rural MDEs caused a median of 9 (IQR, 2-16) deaths per event vs 4 (IQR, 0-14) deaths per event in urban areas. The majority of MDEs occurred in either ASPR region 4 (51 [24.5%]) or region 9 (45 [21.6%]). Certain event types, such as fires, wind, and hurricanes or storms, were geographically concentrated, while extreme heat and floods affected regions across the US equally. Urban counties had disproportionately greater hospital bed capacity than rural counties relative to population and MDE distributions.
The findings of this ecologic study indicate that while MDEs accounted for a small proportion of all weather events, they were associated with a disproportionate number of injuries and fatalities. Integrating these data into county, state, and regional hazard vulnerability analyses is crucial to ensuring preparedness and mitigating climate risk.
极端天气对州和国家医疗保健系统有重大影响;然而,检查与天气相关的伤害和死亡的统计数据是有限的。
检查美国重大灾害事件(MDE)的频率和区域分布。
设计、设置和参与者:这项关于 2006 年 1 月 1 日至 2021 年 12 月 31 日发生的 MDE 的生态横断面研究评估了美国所有包含在国家海洋和大气管理局国家环境信息中心风暴事件数据库中的伤害和死亡数据。数据分析于 2023 年 2 月 22 日至 2024 年 4 月 1 日进行。
重大灾害事件定义为造成至少 50 人受伤或至少 10 人死亡的环境事件。
使用描述性统计数据评估所有 MDE 的事件类型、财产损失以及根据国家卫生统计中心城市-农村分类方案的农村或城市分类。还根据战略准备和应对管理局(ASPR)区域和 ASPR 区域的医院床位容量检查了事件的位置。
在 2006 年至 2021 年期间,有 11159 次风暴事件造成 42254 人受伤和 9760 人死亡。重大灾害事件占 209 次天气事件(1.9%),但造成 19463 次与天气相关的伤害(46.1%)和 2189 次与天气相关的死亡(22.4%)。大多数 MDE 是由极端高温(86[41.1%])和龙卷风(67[32.1%])引起的。尽管大多数 MDE 发生在城市地区(151[75.1%]),而不是农村地区(50[24.9%]),但农村 MDE 每起事件造成的中位数死亡人数为 9 人(IQR,2-16),而城市地区每起事件造成的中位数死亡人数为 4 人(IQR,0-14)。大多数 MDE 发生在 ASPR 区域 4(51[24.5%])或区域 9(45[21.6%])。某些事件类型,如火灾、风和飓风或风暴,在地理上集中,而极端高温和洪水则同样影响美国各地的地区。与人口和 MDE 分布相比,城市县的医院床位容量不成比例地大于农村县。
这项生态研究的结果表明,尽管 MDE 仅占所有天气事件的一小部分,但它们与不成比例数量的伤害和死亡有关。将这些数据纳入县、州和区域灾害脆弱性分析至关重要,以确保做好准备并减轻气候风险。