Department of Intensive Care Medicine, Affiliated Hospital 2 of Nantong University and Nantong First People's Hospital, Nantong, Jiangsu, China.
Department of Emergency, The Affiliated Changzhou No. 2 People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Changzhou, Jiangsu, China.
Postgrad Med. 2024 Sep;136(7):712-719. doi: 10.1080/00325481.2024.2394017. Epub 2024 Aug 27.
This study aimed to investigate the dynamic changes in the platelets of patients with severe heatstroke and the impact of these changes on the occurrence of disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) and prognosis in them.
This retrospective cohort study conducted at two tertiary hospitals recruited 264 patients with severe heatstroke. Logistic regression was used to analyze the association between platelet counts and DIC. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the predictive performance of platelets count for DIC occurrence. We used mediation effect to analysis the role of DIC as a mediating variable to mediate the relationship between platelet count decrease after 24 hours and death.
There were 214 patients with lower platelet counts compared to admission (107 × 10/L[69,168] vs.171 × 10/L[126,215], < 0.001). The DIC patients had lower platelet counts than the non-DIC patients when measured in the emergency department and after 24 hours. The platelet count decrease after 24 hours was a risk factor for DIC (odds ratio [OR] = 2.710, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.069-6.869). The results of the ROC curve revealed that the predictive performance of the platelet count after 24 hours (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.8685, 95% CI = 0.8173-0.9197) was significantly better than that of the platelet count measured in the emergency department (AUC = 0.7080, 95% CI = 0.6345-0.7815). Mediation analyses showed that PLT decrease after 24 hours did not directly lead to death, but can indirectly cause death by inducing the development of DIC.
Decreased platelet count is an independent risk factor for DIC in patients with severe heatstroke. Although the platelet counts measured in the emergency department and after 24 hours show a good predictive performance for DIC occurrence, the prediction performance of the latter is better.
本研究旨在探讨重症中暑患者血小板的动态变化及其对弥漫性血管内凝血(DIC)发生和预后的影响。
本回顾性队列研究在两家三级医院招募了 264 例重症中暑患者。采用 logistic 回归分析血小板计数与 DIC 的关系。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估血小板计数对 DIC 发生的预测性能。采用中介效应分析 DIC 作为中介变量在 24 小时后血小板计数下降与死亡之间的关系。
与入院时相比,214 例患者血小板计数较低(107×10/L[69,168] vs.171×10/L[126,215],<0.001)。在急诊科和 24 小时后,DIC 患者的血小板计数低于非 DIC 患者。24 小时后血小板计数下降是 DIC 的危险因素(比值比[OR] = 2.710,95%置信区间[CI] = 1.069-6.869)。ROC 曲线结果显示,24 小时后血小板计数(曲线下面积[AUC] = 0.8685,95%CI = 0.8173-0.9197)的预测性能明显优于急诊科血小板计数(AUC = 0.7080,95%CI = 0.6345-0.7815)。中介分析显示,24 小时后血小板计数下降并未直接导致死亡,而是通过诱导 DIC 的发展间接导致死亡。
血小板计数下降是重症中暑患者 DIC 的独立危险因素。虽然急诊科和 24 小时后血小板计数对 DIC 发生均有较好的预测性能,但后者的预测性能更好。