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美国的暴力犯罪的地域差异在扩大吗?

Are the geographic disparities in U.S. violent crime rising?

机构信息

Department of Economics, Rice University, Houston, Texas, United States of America.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Aug 28;19(8):e0308799. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0308799. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

Inequality in economic and social outcomes across U.S. regions has grown in recent decades. The economic theory of crime predicts that this increased variability would raise geographic disparities in violent crime. Instead, I find that geographic disparities in homicide rates decreased. Moreover, these same decades saw decreases in the geographic disparities in policing, incarceration, and the share of the population that is African American. Thus, changes in policing, incarcerations, and racial composition could have led to a decrease in inequality in homicide rates. Moreover, the joint provision of law enforcement by local, state, and federal authorities may have reduced the impact of economic distress on violent crime.

摘要

近年来,美国各地区的经济和社会成果不平等现象加剧。犯罪的经济理论预测,这种可变性的增加将导致暴力犯罪的地理差异扩大。然而,我发现,凶杀率的地理差异却在缩小。此外,在这几十年里,治安、监禁和非裔美国人在总人口中所占比例的地理差异也在缩小。因此,治安、监禁和种族构成的变化可能导致凶杀率不平等程度的降低。此外,地方、州和联邦当局联合提供执法服务,可能减轻了经济困境对暴力犯罪的影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ebd6/11355549/8823a14919e8/pone.0308799.g001.jpg

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