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与气候变化相关的经济政策的实施是否取决于货币政策任务和金融稳定治理结构?

Does the implementation of economic policies connected to climate change depend on monetary policy mandates and financial stability governance structures?

作者信息

Cheng Liu, Wu Chang

机构信息

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Co., Ltd. Nanchong branch, China.

School of Economics and Finance, University of South China, China.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Jul 26;10(16):e35294. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e35294. eCollection 2024 Aug 30.

DOI:10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e35294
PMID:39220889
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11365337/
Abstract

The objective of the proposed research study is to examine how the economic policy mandates and governance frameworks of central banks affect the implementation of climate-related economic measures. Empirical evidence supports a positive correlation between the adoption of climate-related economic policies and a broader mandate for monetary policy. The existing body of research contradicts the idea that an enhanced framework for governing economic stability will result in higher implementation of financial measures related to climate change. The study, which focuses on China from 2015 to 2023, concludes that enhanced economic stability governance, founded on less integrated arrangements, leads to more successful implementation of climate-related financial measures. For other criteria such as central bank independence, the existence of a democratic government, and membership in the Sustainable Banking Network, a positive and statistically significant influence is seen across all specifications. Physical risks associated with climate change, such as heat waves, droughts, floods, and storms, as well as transition risks represented by variables like per-person CO2 emissions, policies aimed at mitigating climate change, and the financial capacity to carry out climate adaptation plans, must also manifest. Even after accounting for a new dependent variable and several alternative model parameters, the findings hold up well. We employ a fixed-effects panel regression approach to control for unobserved heterogeneity and isolate the impact of time-varying variables on renewable energy production. This methodology ensures robust and consistent estimates, providing clear insights into how monetary policy adjustments influence renewable energy investments.

摘要

拟议的研究项目目标是考察中央银行的经济政策指令和治理框架如何影响与气候相关的经济措施的实施。实证证据支持与气候相关的经济政策的采用与货币政策更广泛的指令之间存在正相关关系。现有的研究主体与这样一种观点相矛盾,即加强经济稳定治理框架将导致与气候变化相关的金融措施得到更高程度的实施。这项聚焦于2015年至2023年中国的研究得出结论,基于不太一体化安排的更强的经济稳定治理会导致与气候相关的金融措施得到更成功的实施。对于其他标准,如中央银行独立性、民主政府的存在以及可持续银行网络的成员资格,在所有设定中都观察到了积极且具有统计显著性的影响。与气候变化相关的物理风险,如热浪、干旱、洪水和风暴,以及以人均二氧化碳排放量、旨在缓解气候变化的政策和实施气候适应计划的财政能力等变量所代表的转型风险,也必须显现出来。即使在考虑了一个新的因变量和几个替代模型参数之后,研究结果仍然很可靠。我们采用固定效应面板回归方法来控制未观察到的异质性,并分离随时间变化的变量对可再生能源生产的影响。这种方法确保了稳健且一致的估计,为货币政策调整如何影响可再生能源投资提供了清晰的见解。

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本文引用的文献

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Sci Bull (Beijing). 2023 Oct 30;68(20):2467-2476. doi: 10.1016/j.scib.2023.08.039. Epub 2023 Aug 21.
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An Evaluation of the Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions From China's Light Sector to Achieve Sustainable Development Goals.中国轻工行业实现可持续发展目标的能源相关二氧化碳排放评估。
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