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中性粒细胞/淋巴细胞比值可预测主动脉夹层患者在急诊科的死亡率。

Neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio as a predictor of mortality among aortic dissection patients in the emergency department.

机构信息

Department of Emergency Medicine, Gönen State Hospital, Balıkesir-Türkiye.

Manisa Provincial Ambulance Service Chief Physician, Manisa-Türkiye.

出版信息

Ulus Travma Acil Cerrahi Derg. 2024 Sep;30(9):644-649. doi: 10.14744/tjtes.2024.78241.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Aortic dissection (AD) is a serious cardiovascular condition associated with high mortality rates. The systemic inflammatory response can influence the prognosis of AD, and in this context, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) emerges as a simple and rapid inflammatory biomarker.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 103 patients diagnosed with AD and treated in the emergency department between 2018 and 2023. Patient demographics, clinical features, and laboratory results were evaluated. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to adjust for potential confounders such as age, mean systolic blood pressure, oxygen saturation, hemoglobin, lactate values, and the presence of coronary artery disease. The ability of NLR to predict mortality was analyzed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.

RESULTS

The study population was divided into two groups: non-survivors (68% mortality rate) and survivors (32% survival rate). The non-survivor group had significantly higher NLR values compared to the survivor group (median NLR 7.66 vs. 2.5, p<0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified NLR as an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 2.33, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.42-3.82, p<0.001). ROC analysis for NLR demonstrated high discriminative power with an area under the ROC curve (AUROC) of 0.851 (95% CI 0.768-0.914). The determined cut-off point was >5.08 with a sensitivity of 77.14% and specificity of 81.82%.

CONCLUSION

The findings indicate that high NLR is strongly associated with increased mortality risk in patients with AD and can be used in emergency clinical settings to predict mortality.

摘要

背景

主动脉夹层(AD)是一种与高死亡率相关的严重心血管疾病。全身炎症反应会影响 AD 的预后,在此背景下,中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)作为一种简单、快速的炎症生物标志物而出现。

方法

本回顾性队列研究纳入了 2018 年至 2023 年期间在急诊科确诊为 AD 并接受治疗的 103 例患者。评估了患者的人口统计学特征、临床特征和实验室结果。多变量逻辑回归分析用于调整年龄、平均收缩压、氧饱和度、血红蛋白、乳酸值以及是否存在冠心病等潜在混杂因素。使用接收者操作特征(ROC)分析来分析 NLR 预测死亡率的能力。

结果

研究人群分为两组:非幸存者(死亡率 68%)和幸存者(存活率 32%)。与幸存者组相比,非幸存者组的 NLR 值明显更高(中位数 NLR 7.66 与 2.5,p<0.001)。多变量逻辑回归分析确定 NLR 是院内死亡率的独立预测因子(调整后比值比[OR] 2.33,95%置信区间[CI] 1.42-3.82,p<0.001)。NLR 的 ROC 分析显示出较高的区分能力,ROC 曲线下面积(AUROC)为 0.851(95%CI 0.768-0.914)。确定的截断值为>5.08,灵敏度为 77.14%,特异性为 81.82%。

结论

研究结果表明,高 NLR 与 AD 患者的死亡率增加密切相关,可在急诊临床环境中用于预测死亡率。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/68da/11622725/56f18de9685c/TJTES-30-644-g001.jpg

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