Wesfarmers Centre of Vaccines and Infectious Diseases, Telethon Kids Institute, University of Western Australia, Perth, Australia.
School of Population Health, Curtin University, Perth, Australia.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2024 Sep;18(9):e70005. doi: 10.1111/irv.70005.
An understanding of viral testing rates is crucial to accurately estimate the pathogen-specific hospitalisation burden. We aimed to estimate the patterns of testing for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), influenza virus, parainfluenza virus (PIV) and human metapneumovirus (hMPV) by geographical location, age and time in children <5 years old in Western Australia.
We conducted a population-based cohort study of children born between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2021, utilising linked administrative data incorporating birth and death records, hospitalisations and respiratory viral surveillance testing records from state-wide public pathology data. We examined within-hospital testing rates using survival analysis techniques and identified independent predictors of testing using binary logistic regression.
Our dataset included 46,553 laboratory tests for RSV, influenza, PIV, or hMPV from 355,021 children (52.5% male). Testing rates declined in the metropolitan region over the study period (RSV testing in infants: from 242.11/1000 child-years in 2012 to 155.47/1000 child-years in 2018) and increased thereafter. Conversely, rates increased in non-metropolitan areas (e.g., RSV in Goldfields: from 364.92 in 2012 to 504.37/1000 child-years in 2021). The strongest predictors of testing were age <12 months (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 2.25, 95% CI 2.20-2.31), preterm birth (<32 weeks: aOR = 2.90, 95% CI 2.76-3.05) and remote residence (aOR = 0.77, 95% CI 0.73-0.81).
These current testing rates highlight the potential underestimation of respiratory virus hospitalisations by routine surveillance and the need for estimation of the true burden of respiratory virus admissions.
了解病毒检测率对于准确估计病原体特异性住院负担至关重要。本研究旨在估计在澳大利亚西部,5 岁以下儿童中按地理位置、年龄和时间分布的呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV)、流感病毒、副流感病毒(PIV)和人偏肺病毒(hMPV)检测模式。
我们开展了一项基于人群的队列研究,纳入了 2010 年 1 月 1 日至 2021 年 12 月 31 日期间出生的儿童,利用包含出生和死亡记录、住院和呼吸道病毒监测检测记录的全州公共病理学数据的链接行政数据。我们使用生存分析技术检查了院内检测率,并使用二项逻辑回归确定了检测的独立预测因素。
我们的数据集包括了 46553 例来自 355021 名儿童(52.5%为男性)的 RSV、流感、PIV 或 hMPV 的实验室检测结果。在研究期间,大都市地区的检测率呈下降趋势(2012 年婴儿 RSV 检测率为 242.11/1000 儿童年,2018 年降至 155.47/1000 儿童年),此后有所上升。相反,非大都市地区的检测率增加(例如,金矿区 RSV:2012 年为 364.92/1000 儿童年,2021 年增至 504.37/1000 儿童年)。检测的最强预测因素是年龄<12 个月(调整后比值比[aOR] = 2.25,95%CI 2.20-2.31)、早产(<32 周:aOR = 2.90,95%CI 2.76-3.05)和偏远地区居住(aOR = 0.77,95%CI 0.73-0.81)。
这些当前的检测率突出表明常规监测可能低估了呼吸道病毒住院治疗情况,因此需要估计呼吸道病毒住院治疗的真实负担。