León-Muñoz Jorge, Aguayo Rodrigo, Corredor-Acosta Andrea, Tapia Fabián J, Iriarte José Luis, Reid Brian, Soto Doris
Departamento de Química Ambiental, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad Católica de la Santísima Concepción, Concepción, Chile.
Centro FONDAP Interdisciplinario para la Investigación Acuícola (INCAR), Concepción-Puerto Montt, Chile.
Sci Rep. 2024 Sep 4;14(1):20632. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-71008-y.
Climate-driven changes in freshwater inputs have been shown to affect the structure and function of coastal ecosystems. We evaluated changes in the influence of river runoff on coastal systems of Northwestern Patagonia (NWP) over recent decades (1993-2021) by combined analysis of long-term streamflow time series, hydrological simulation, satellite-derived and reanalysis data on sea surface conditions (temperature, turbidity, and salinity). Significant decreases in minimum streamflow across a zone spanning six major river basins were evident at weekly, monthly, and seasonal scales. These changes have been most pronounced in mixed-regime northern basins (e.g., Puelo River) but appear to be progressing southward to rivers characterised by a nival regime. In the adjacent two-layer inner sea, reduced freshwater input corresponds with a shallower halocline and increased surface temperatures across northern Patagonia. Our results underscore the rapidly evolving influence of rivers on adjacent estuarine and coastal waters in NWP. We highlight the need for cross-ecosystem observation, forecasting, mitigation and adaptation strategies in a changing climate, together with corresponding adaptive basin management of systems that supply runoff to the coastal marine waters.
气候驱动的淡水输入变化已被证明会影响沿海生态系统的结构和功能。我们通过对长期流量时间序列、水文模拟、卫星衍生数据以及海面状况(温度、浊度和盐度)的再分析数据进行综合分析,评估了近几十年来(1993 - 2021年)河流径流对西北巴塔哥尼亚(NWP)沿海系统影响的变化。在跨越六个主要流域的区域内,每周、每月和季节尺度上的最小流量都有显著下降。这些变化在混合径流的北部流域(如普埃洛河)最为明显,但似乎正在向南发展到以雪水径流为主的河流。在相邻的两层内海,淡水输入减少对应着巴塔哥尼亚北部盐跃层变浅和表层温度升高。我们的结果强调了河流对NWP相邻河口和沿海水域的影响正在迅速演变。我们强调,在气候变化的背景下,需要跨生态系统的观测、预测、缓解和适应策略,以及对向沿海海域提供径流的系统进行相应的适应性流域管理。
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