World Bank, Washington, D.C., USA.
World Bank, Washington, D.C., USA.
Int J Infect Dis. 2024 Nov;148:107167. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2024.107167. Epub 2024 Sep 2.
To analyze how patterns of excess mortality varied by sex and age groups across countries during the COVID-19 pandemic and their association with country income level.
We used World Health Organization excess mortality estimates by sex and age groups for 75 countries in 2020 and 62 countries in 2021, restricting the sample to estimates based on recorded all-cause mortality data. We examined patterns across countries using country-specific Poisson regressions with observations consisting of the number of excess deaths by groups defined by sex and age.
Men die at higher rates in nearly all places and at all ages beyond age 45. In 2020, the pandemic amplified this gender mortality gap for the world, but with variation across countries and by country income level. In high-income countries, rates of excess mortality were much higher for men than women. In contrast, in middle-income countries, the sex ratio of excess mortality was similar to the sex ratio of expected all-cause mortality. The exacerbation of the sex ratio of excess mortality observed in 2020 in high-income countries, however, declined in 2021.
The COVID-19 pandemic has killed men at much higher rates than women, as has been well documented, but these gender differences have varied by country income. These differences were the result of some combination of variation in gender patterns of infection rates and infection fatality rates across countries. The gender gap in mortality declined in high-income countries in 2021, likely as a result of the faster rollout of vaccination against COVID-19.
分析在 COVID-19 大流行期间,不同国家按性别和年龄组划分的超额死亡率模式的变化情况,及其与国家收入水平的关系。
我们使用了世界卫生组织按性别和年龄组对 2020 年 75 个国家和 2021 年 62 个国家的超额死亡率估计数,将样本限于基于记录的全因死亡率数据的估计数。我们使用按国家划分的泊松回归对各国的模式进行了检查,观察值由按性别和年龄定义的组别的超额死亡人数组成。
在几乎所有地方和 45 岁以上的所有年龄段,男性的死亡率都更高。在 2020 年,大流行加剧了这种全球性别死亡率差距,但各国之间以及各国收入水平之间存在差异。在高收入国家,男性的超额死亡率远高于女性。相比之下,在中等收入国家,超额死亡率的性别比与全因死亡率的性别比相似。然而,2020 年在高收入国家观察到的超额死亡率性别比的恶化在 2021 年有所下降。
正如已经充分记录的那样,COVID-19 大流行导致男性的死亡率远高于女性,但这种性别差异因国家收入而异。这些差异是由于各国之间感染率和感染病死率的性别模式的变化的某种组合造成的。2021 年,高收入国家的死亡率性别差距缩小,这可能是由于 COVID-19 疫苗接种的快速推出所致。