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俄罗斯的威胁与西方的巩固：民粹主义和对欧盟的怀疑态度如何影响各政党对乌克兰的支持。

The Russian threat and the consolidation of the West: How populism and EU-skepticism shape party support for Ukraine.

作者信息

Hooghe Liesbet, Marks Gary, Bakker Ryan, Jolly Seth, Polk Jonathan, Rovny Jan, Steenbergen Marco, Vachudova Milada Anna

机构信息

Department of Political Science, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.

RSCAS, European University Institute, Florence, Italy.

出版信息

Eur Union Polit. 2024 Sep;25(3):459-482. doi: 10.1177/14651165241237136. Epub 2024 Mar 18.

DOI:10.1177/14651165241237136
PMID:39234612
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11368660/
Abstract

Support for Ukraine against Russian aggression has been strong across Europe, but it is far from uniform. An expert survey of the positions taken by political parties in 29 countries conducted mid-2023 reveals that 97 of 269 parties reject one or more of the following: providing weapons, hosting refugees, supporting Ukraine's path to European Union membership, or accepting higher energy costs. Where the perceived threat from Russia is most severe, we find the greatest levels of support for Ukraine. However, ideology appears to be far more influential. The level of a party's populist rhetoric and its European Union skepticism explain the bulk of variation in support for Ukraine despite our finding that many strongly populist and European Union-skeptical parties take moderate pro-Ukraine positions when in government.

摘要

欧洲各地对乌克兰抗击俄罗斯侵略的支持力度很大，但并不统一。2023年年中对29个国家政党立场进行的一项专家调查显示，269个政党中有97个拒绝以下一项或多项：提供武器、接收难民、支持乌克兰加入欧盟的道路或接受更高的能源成本。在认为来自俄罗斯的威胁最为严重的地方，我们发现对乌克兰的支持程度最高。然而，意识形态似乎更具影响力。尽管我们发现许多强烈的民粹主义和怀疑欧盟的政党在执政时采取温和的亲乌克兰立场，但一个政党的民粹主义言辞水平及其对欧盟的怀疑态度解释了对乌克兰支持的大部分差异。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2335/11368660/f4d76e269366/10.1177_14651165241237136-fig6.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2335/11368660/ea4b72791fc3/10.1177_14651165241237136-fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2335/11368660/c84842dcb3eb/10.1177_14651165241237136-fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2335/11368660/c688827abc71/10.1177_14651165241237136-fig3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2335/11368660/222279b51c5e/10.1177_14651165241237136-fig4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2335/11368660/f1307a908a14/10.1177_14651165241237136-fig5.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2335/11368660/f4d76e269366/10.1177_14651165241237136-fig6.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2335/11368660/ea4b72791fc3/10.1177_14651165241237136-fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2335/11368660/c84842dcb3eb/10.1177_14651165241237136-fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2335/11368660/c688827abc71/10.1177_14651165241237136-fig3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2335/11368660/222279b51c5e/10.1177_14651165241237136-fig4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2335/11368660/f1307a908a14/10.1177_14651165241237136-fig5.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2335/11368660/f4d76e269366/10.1177_14651165241237136-fig6.jpg

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