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2013-2020 年兰州市逐日气温、日较差与哮喘住院的相关性研究。

The correlation between daily temperature, diurnal temperature range, and asthma hospital admissions in Lanzhou city, 2013-2020.

机构信息

School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, PR China.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2024 Sep 9;24(1):2454. doi: 10.1186/s12889-024-19737-7.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

With the backdrop of global climate change, the impact of climate change on respiratory diseases like asthma is receiving increasing attention. However, the effects of temperature and diurnal temperature range (DTR) on asthma are complex, and understanding these effects across different seasons, age groups, and sex is of utmost importance.

METHODS

This study utilized asthma hospitalization data from Lanzhou, China, and implemented a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) to investigate the relationship between temperature and DTR and asthma hospitalizations. It considered differences in the effects across various seasons and population subgroups.

RESULTS

The study revealed that low temperatures immediately increase the risk of asthma hospitalization (RR = 1.2010, 95% CI: 1.1464, 1.2580), and this risk persists for a period of time. Meanwhile, both high and low DTR were associated with an increased risk of asthma hospitalization. Lower temperatures (RR = 2.9798, 95% CI: 1.1154, 7.9606) were associated with higher asthma risk in the warm season, while in the cold season, the risk significantly rose for the general population (RR = 3.6867, 95% CI: 1.7494, 7.7696), females (RR = 7.2417, 95% CI: 2.7171, 19.3003), and older individuals (RR = 18.5425, 95% CI: 5.1436, 66.8458). In the warm season, low DTR conditions exhibited a significant association with asthma hospitalization risk in males (RR = 7.2547, 95% CI: 1.2612, 41.7295) and adults aged 15-64 (RR = 9.9494, 95% CI: 2.2723, 43.5643). Children also exhibited noticeable risk within specific DTR ranges. In the cold season, lower DTR increases the risk of asthma hospitalization for the general population (RR = 3.1257, 95% CI: 1.4004, 6.9767). High DTR significantly increases the risk of asthma hospitalization in adults (RR = 5.2563, 95% CI: 2.4131, 11.4498).

CONCLUSION

This study provides crucial insights into the complex relationship between temperature, DTR, and asthma hospitalization, highlighting the variations in asthma risk across different seasons and population subgroups.

摘要

背景

在全球气候变化的背景下,气候变化对哮喘等呼吸道疾病的影响受到越来越多的关注。然而,温度和日较差(DTR)对哮喘的影响是复杂的,了解不同季节、年龄组和性别的这些影响至关重要。

方法

本研究利用中国兰州的哮喘住院数据,采用分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM)来研究温度和 DTR 与哮喘住院之间的关系。考虑了不同季节和人群亚组之间的影响差异。

结果

研究表明,低温会立即增加哮喘住院的风险(RR=1.2010,95%CI:1.1464,1.2580),这种风险会持续一段时间。同时,高 DTR 和低 DTR 都会增加哮喘住院的风险。在暖季,较低的温度(RR=2.9798,95%CI:1.1154,7.9606)与更高的哮喘风险相关,而在冷季,普通人群(RR=3.6867,95%CI:1.7494,7.7696)、女性(RR=7.2417,95%CI:2.7171,19.3003)和年龄较大的个体(RR=18.5425,95%CI:5.1436,66.8458)的风险显著上升。在暖季,低 DTR 条件与男性(RR=7.2547,95%CI:1.2612,41.7295)和 15-64 岁成年人(RR=9.9494,95%CI:2.2723,43.5643)的哮喘住院风险显著相关。儿童在特定 DTR 范围内也表现出明显的风险。在冷季,较低的 DTR 增加了普通人群(RR=3.1257,95%CI:1.4004,6.9767)的哮喘住院风险。高 DTR 显著增加了成年人(RR=5.2563,95%CI:2.4131,11.4498)的哮喘住院风险。

结论

本研究深入探讨了温度、DTR 和哮喘住院之间的复杂关系,突出了不同季节和人群亚组之间哮喘风险的变化。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/16e7/11386359/04d4801a67c7/12889_2024_19737_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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