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中国长春昼夜温差与 COPD 入院之间的关系。

The relationship between diurnal temperature range and COPD hospital admissions in Changchun, China.

机构信息

College of Atmospheric Science, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China.

Chengde Meteorological Bureau, Chengde, 067000, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2018 Jun;25(18):17942-17949. doi: 10.1007/s11356-018-2013-3. Epub 2018 Apr 22.

Abstract

Diurnal temperature range (DTR) has been suggested to be an adverse health factor especially related to respiratory and cardiovascular diseases. In the current study, we investigated the association between DTR and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) hospital admissions during 2009 to 2012 in northeast city of Changchun, China. Based on generalized additive model (GAM), the effects were expressed as relative risk (RR) values of COPD with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) with each 1 °C increase in DTR. And they were significantly increased with an increment of 1 °C in DTR, modified by season, age, and sex. The elderly were more vulnerable, with relative risk values of 1.048 (1.029, 1.066) in cold season and 1.037 (1.021, 1.053) in warm season. Regarding the gender, the DTR effect on females was greater during cold season and the RR value was 1.051 (1.033, 1.069) on the current day (lag 0). The greater estimates for males appeared at lag 7 days, with RR of 1.019 (0.998, 1.040). A season-specific effect was detected that the relative risk values with per 1 °C increase in DTR were greater in cold season than in warm season. These findings support the hypothesis of significant relationship between DTR and COPD in Changchun, one northeast city of China.

摘要

昼夜温差(DTR)已被认为是一个不利的健康因素,特别是与呼吸和心血管疾病有关。在目前的研究中,我们调查了 2009 年至 2012 年期间 DTR 与中国东北长春市慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)住院之间的关联。基于广义加性模型(GAM),效应表示为 DTR 每增加 1°C 时 COPD 的相对风险(RR)值及其 95%置信区间(CI)。并且,在季节、年龄和性别等因素的调整下,随着 DTR 的增加,RR 值显著增加。老年人更易受影响,在冷季RR 值为 1.048(1.029,1.066),在暖季为 1.037(1.021,1.053)。关于性别,在冷季,DTR 对女性的影响更大,当日(滞后 0)的 RR 值为 1.051(1.033,1.069)。男性的估计值在滞后 7 天时更大,RR 值为 1.019(0.998,1.040)。检测到季节特异性效应,即 DTR 每增加 1°C 时,RR 值在冷季大于暖季。这些发现支持了 DTR 与中国东北长春市 COPD 之间存在显著关系的假设。

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