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转移性结直肠癌患者一线治疗中具有非比例风险的总生存期:系统评价与网状Meta分析

Overall survival with non-proportional hazards in first-line treatment for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer: Systematic review and network meta-analysis.

作者信息

Keshavarzi Fatemeh, Salari Nader, Jambarsang Sara, Mohammad Tabatabaei Seyyed, Shahsavari Soodeh, Fournier Andrew J

机构信息

Department of Biostatistics, Faculty of Health, Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences, Kermanshah, Iran.

Department of Bio-Statistics and Epidemiology, Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Science, Yazd, Iran.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Aug 16;10(16):e36464. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e36464. eCollection 2024 Aug 30.

Abstract

This study aimed to identify the most effective first-line treatment for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer based on overall survival, identify the most commonly used treatment, and generate a meaningful ranking among all available treatments based on their relative effectiveness. Researchers used the ANOVA parametrization method to fit the second-order fractional polynomial network meta-analysis with a random-effect model. Using a non-proportional hazards network meta-analysis, 46 treatments were compared by considering a combination of direct and indirect evidence extracted from clinical trial studies. Included in the review were 46 trials involving 21350 patients. Between January 2000 and January 2023, researchers conducted a thorough search through Embase, PubMed/Medline, and Scopus. To undertake a secondary analysis of this data, we recreate individual patient data from published Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival curves and assess the accuracy of that reconstruction. A random-effects model was used to evaluate the pooled overall survival and hazard ratio with a 95 percent confidence interval. The predicted survival curves for the network meta-analysis showed that GOLFIG and FOLFOX + Cetuximab treatments have higher survival, respectively. Our results provide moderate quality evidence and comparative effective estimates for various available first-line treatments for metastasis colorectal cancer based on network meta-analysis.

摘要

本研究旨在基于总生存期确定转移性结直肠癌患者最有效的一线治疗方案,确定最常用的治疗方法,并根据所有可用治疗方法的相对有效性生成有意义的排名。研究人员使用方差分析参数化方法,采用随机效应模型对二阶分数多项式网络荟萃分析进行拟合。通过非比例风险网络荟萃分析,结合从临床试验研究中提取的直接和间接证据,对46种治疗方法进行了比较。纳入综述的有46项试验,涉及2135名患者。在2000年1月至2023年1月期间,研究人员通过Embase、PubMed/Medline和Scopus进行了全面检索。为了对这些数据进行二次分析,我们从已发表的卡普兰-迈耶(K-M)生存曲线中重新创建个体患者数据,并评估该重建的准确性。采用随机效应模型评估合并的总生存期和风险比,并给出95%置信区间。网络荟萃分析的预测生存曲线表明,GOLFIG和FOLFOX+西妥昔单抗治疗分别具有更高的生存率。我们的结果基于网络荟萃分析,为转移性结直肠癌的各种可用一线治疗提供了中等质量的证据和比较有效的估计。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/648b/11381762/3310486e3e78/gr1.jpg

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