Integration of thermal energy storage for sustainable energy hubs in the forest industry: A comprehensive analysis of cost, thermodynamic efficiency, and availability.

Thermal energy storage (TES) offers a practical solution for reducing industrial operation costs by load-shifting heat demands within industrial processes. In the integrated Thermomechanical pulping process, TES systems within the Energy Hub can provide heat for the paper machine, aiming to minimize electricity costs during peak hours. This strategic use of TES technology ensures more cost-effective and efficient energy consumption management, leading to overall operational savings. This research presents a novel method for optimizing the design and operation of an Energy Hub with TES in the forest industry. The proposed approach for the optimal design involves a comprehensive analysis of the dynamic efficiency, reliability, and availability of system components. The Energy Hub comprises energy conversion technologies such as an electric boiler and a steam generator heat pump. The study examines how the reliability of the industrial Energy Hub system affects operational costs and analyzes the impact of the maximum capacities of its components on system reliability. The method identifies the optimal design point for maximizing system reliability benefits. To optimize the TES system's charging/discharging schedule, an advanced predictive method using time series prediction models, including LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) and GRU (Gated Recurrent Unit), has been developed to forecast average daily electricity prices. The results highlight significant benefits from the optimal operation of TES integrated with Energy Hubs, demonstrating a 4.5-6 percent reduction in system operation costs depending on the reference year. Optimizing the Energy Hub design improves system availability, reducing operation costs due to unsupplied demand penalty costs. The system's peak availability can reach 98 %, with a maximum heat pump capacity of 2 MW and an electric boiler capacity of 3.4 MW. The GRU method showed superior accuracy in predicting electricity prices compared to LSTM, indicating its potential as a reliable electricity price predictor within the system.