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与野火相关的 PM 和特定癌症死亡率。

Wildfire-related PM and cause-specific cancer mortality.

机构信息

School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004, Australia.

School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004, Australia; Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

出版信息

Ecotoxicol Environ Saf. 2024 Oct 15;285:117023. doi: 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2024.117023. Epub 2024 Sep 14.

Abstract

Wildfires have devastating effects on society and public health. However, little evidence from population-based cohort has been performed to analyze the relationship of wildfire-related PM, an important component of wildfire smoke, with cancer-specific mortality. We aimed to explore this relationship and identify vulnerable populations in UK with lower levels of wildfire-related PM exposure. The study consisted of 492394 participants (age: 38-73 years) recruited by UK Biobank during 2004-2010. The cumulative wildfire-related PM within 10 kilometers of residence over three years was used as exposure, which was assessed by chemical transport and machine learning models. A time-varying Cox regression was utilized to explore the relationship of exposure with diverse cancer-specific mortality outcomes. Subgroup analyses of a range of potential modifiers were performed. Each 10 μg/m increment of 3-year cumulative exposure was related to a 0.4 % greater risk of total cancer (95 %CI: 1.001-1.007), a 1.1 % greater risk of lung cancer (95 %CI: 1.004-1.018), and a 2.7 % greater risk of lip, oral cavity and pharynx (LOP) cancer (95 %CI: 1.005-1.049). Higher vulnerability in the wildfire-related PM-lung cancer relationship was found among participants being retired than those with other employment status. Even lower levels of exposure to PM from wildfires were related to elevated mortality risks for cancer from total, lung, LOP, highlighting the importance of wildfire prevention and control. Further investigations are warranted to enrich and extend existing knowledge in this field.

摘要

野火对社会和公共健康造成了毁灭性的影响。然而,目前还没有基于人群的队列研究来分析与野火相关的细颗粒物(野火烟雾的重要组成部分)与癌症特异性死亡率之间的关系。我们旨在探讨这种关系,并确定英国受野火相关 PM 暴露水平较低的脆弱人群。这项研究包括英国生物库在 2004 年至 2010 年期间招募的 492394 名参与者(年龄:38-73 岁)。居住地 10 公里范围内三年内的累积野火相关 PM 作为暴露量,通过化学输送和机器学习模型进行评估。采用时变 Cox 回归模型探讨暴露与各种癌症特异性死亡率结果之间的关系。进行了一系列潜在修饰符的亚组分析。暴露量每增加 10μg/m³,则总癌症(95%CI:1.001-1.007)、肺癌(95%CI:1.004-1.018)和唇、口腔和咽(LOP)癌症(95%CI:1.005-1.049)的风险分别增加 0.4%、1.1%和 2.7%。与其他就业状态相比,退休参与者的野火相关 PM-肺癌关系中的脆弱性更高。即使是较低水平的野火相关 PM 暴露,也与癌症总死亡率、肺癌死亡率和 LOP 癌症死亡率的升高有关,这突出了野火预防和控制的重要性。需要进一步的研究来丰富和扩展该领域的现有知识。

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