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长期暴露于与野火相关的 PM 与死亡率之间的关联:英国生物库的纵向分析。

Association between long-term exposure to wildfire-related PM and mortality: A longitudinal analysis of the UK Biobank.

机构信息

School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004, Australia.

School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004, Australia; Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

出版信息

J Hazard Mater. 2023 Sep 5;457:131779. doi: 10.1016/j.jhazmat.2023.131779. Epub 2023 Jun 8.

Abstract

Little is known about the associations between long-term exposure to wildfire-related fine particulate matter (PM) and mortality. We aimed to explore theses associations using the data from the UK Biobank cohort. Long-term wildfire-related PM exposure was defined as the 3-year cumulative concentrations of wildfire-related PM within a 10-km buffer surrounding the residential address for each individual. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using the time-varying Cox regression model. We included 492,394 participants aged between 38 and 73 years. We found that after adjusting for potential covariates, a 10 μg/m increase of wildfire-related PM exposure was associated with a 0.4% higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 1.004 [95% CI: 1.001, 1.006]) and nonaccidental mortality (HR = 1.004 [95% CI: 1.002, 1.006]), and a 0.5% higher risk of neoplasm mortality (HR = 1.005 [95% CI: 1.002, 1.008]). However, no significant associations were observed between wildfire-related PM exposure and mortality from cardiovascular, respiratory, and mental diseases. Additionally, no significant modification effects of a series of modifiers were observed. Targeted health protection strategies should be adopted in response to wildfire-related PM exposure, in order to reduce the risk of premature mortality.

摘要

目前对于长期暴露于野火相关细颗粒物(PM)与死亡率之间的关联知之甚少。本研究旨在利用英国生物库队列的数据来探索这些关联。长期暴露于野火相关 PM 定义为居住地址周围 10 公里缓冲区中 3 年内的野火相关 PM 的累积浓度。使用时变 Cox 回归模型估计危害比(HR)及其 95%置信区间(CI)。我们纳入了 492394 名年龄在 38 至 73 岁之间的参与者。研究发现,在调整潜在混杂因素后,野火相关 PM 暴露每增加 10μg/m,全因死亡率(HR=1.004[95%CI:1.001,1.006])和非意外死亡率(HR=1.004[95%CI:1.002,1.006])的风险增加 0.4%,肿瘤死亡率的风险增加 0.5%(HR=1.005[95%CI:1.002,1.008])。然而,在心血管疾病、呼吸系统疾病和精神疾病死亡率与野火相关 PM 暴露之间未观察到显著关联。此外,未观察到一系列调整因素的显著修饰作用。应采取有针对性的健康保护策略来应对野火相关 PM 暴露,以降低过早死亡的风险。

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