School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004, Australia.
School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004, Australia; Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
J Hazard Mater. 2023 Sep 5;457:131779. doi: 10.1016/j.jhazmat.2023.131779. Epub 2023 Jun 8.
Little is known about the associations between long-term exposure to wildfire-related fine particulate matter (PM) and mortality. We aimed to explore theses associations using the data from the UK Biobank cohort. Long-term wildfire-related PM exposure was defined as the 3-year cumulative concentrations of wildfire-related PM within a 10-km buffer surrounding the residential address for each individual. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using the time-varying Cox regression model. We included 492,394 participants aged between 38 and 73 years. We found that after adjusting for potential covariates, a 10 μg/m increase of wildfire-related PM exposure was associated with a 0.4% higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 1.004 [95% CI: 1.001, 1.006]) and nonaccidental mortality (HR = 1.004 [95% CI: 1.002, 1.006]), and a 0.5% higher risk of neoplasm mortality (HR = 1.005 [95% CI: 1.002, 1.008]). However, no significant associations were observed between wildfire-related PM exposure and mortality from cardiovascular, respiratory, and mental diseases. Additionally, no significant modification effects of a series of modifiers were observed. Targeted health protection strategies should be adopted in response to wildfire-related PM exposure, in order to reduce the risk of premature mortality.
目前对于长期暴露于野火相关细颗粒物(PM)与死亡率之间的关联知之甚少。本研究旨在利用英国生物库队列的数据来探索这些关联。长期暴露于野火相关 PM 定义为居住地址周围 10 公里缓冲区中 3 年内的野火相关 PM 的累积浓度。使用时变 Cox 回归模型估计危害比(HR)及其 95%置信区间(CI)。我们纳入了 492394 名年龄在 38 至 73 岁之间的参与者。研究发现,在调整潜在混杂因素后,野火相关 PM 暴露每增加 10μg/m,全因死亡率(HR=1.004[95%CI:1.001,1.006])和非意外死亡率(HR=1.004[95%CI:1.002,1.006])的风险增加 0.4%,肿瘤死亡率的风险增加 0.5%(HR=1.005[95%CI:1.002,1.008])。然而,在心血管疾病、呼吸系统疾病和精神疾病死亡率与野火相关 PM 暴露之间未观察到显著关联。此外,未观察到一系列调整因素的显著修饰作用。应采取有针对性的健康保护策略来应对野火相关 PM 暴露,以降低过早死亡的风险。