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巴西的产妇死亡率:时间趋势和空间聚类分析。

Maternal mortality in Brazil: an analysis of temporal trends and spatial clustering.

机构信息

Universidade Estadual do Piauí. Av. Nossa Sra. de Fátima s/n, Teresina PI Brasil.

Prefeitura Municipal de Campinas. Campinas SP Brasil.

出版信息

Cien Saude Colet. 2024 Oct;29(10):e05012023. doi: 10.1590/1413-812320242910.05012023. Epub 2023 Sep 20.

DOI:10.1590/1413-812320242910.05012023
PMID:39292038
Abstract

This article aims to analyze spatial and temporal patterns of maternal mortality in Brazil during the period 2010-2020 and identify related socioeconomic indicators. We conducted an ecological study of the maternal mortality ratio (MMR) in Brazil's municipalities using secondary data. Temporal analysis was performed using the joinpoint method. Bayesian statistics, spatial autocorrelation, the Getis Ord Gi* technique and the scan statistic were used to identify spatial clusters, and multiple non-spatial and spatial regression models were used to assess the association between factors and the MMR. There was an increase in the MMR in 2020 and an increase in deaths in the North and Southeast. Clusters were found in Amazonas, Tocantins, Piauí, Maranhão, Bahia and Mato Grosso do Sul. The following indicators were negatively associated with the MMR: cesarean section rate, Municipal Human Development Index, and per capita household income of people who are vulnerable to poverty. The MMR was stable up to 2019, followed by a sharp rise in 2020 coinciding with the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic in the country. It is essential that efforts to reduce maternal mortality in Brazil extend beyond the promotion of improvements in antenatal, childbirth and postpartum care to address the social determinants of the problem.

摘要

本文旨在分析 2010-2020 年期间巴西孕产妇死亡率的时空模式,并确定相关的社会经济指标。我们使用二手数据对巴西各城市的孕产妇死亡率比(MMR)进行了生态研究。采用连接点方法进行时间分析。使用贝叶斯统计、空间自相关、Getis Ord Gi* 技术和扫描统计来识别空间聚类,并使用多个非空间和空间回归模型来评估因素与 MMR 之间的关联。2020 年 MMR 增加,北部和东南部死亡人数增加。在亚马逊州、托坎廷斯州、皮奥伊州、马拉尼昂州、巴伊亚州和南马托格罗索州发现了聚类。以下指标与 MMR 呈负相关:剖腹产率、市级人类发展指数以及易受贫困影响人群的人均家庭收入。MMR 在 2019 年之前保持稳定,随后在 2020 年急剧上升,恰逢该国新冠疫情的爆发。巴西减少孕产妇死亡率的努力必须不仅要推广改善产前、分娩和产后护理,还要解决问题的社会决定因素。

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