Upper gastrointestinal cancers: Trends and determinants of location of death.

BACKGROUND

Patients diagnosed with upper gastrointestinal cancers often require extensive end-of-life care. We sought to investigate social determinants of health associated with disparities in the location of death among patients who died of upper gastrointestinal cancers.

METHODS

Patients who died between 2003 and 2020 from esophageal cancer, gastric cancer, hepatobiliary cancer, and pancreatic cancer were identified using the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research database. Social determinants of health were assessed using the Social Vulnerability Index. Patients were categorized on the basis of location of death: inpatient hospital, home, nursing home, hospice, and outpatient medical facility/emergency department. Multivariable regression and mediation analyses defined the association of patient race as well as social determinants of health with location of death.

RESULTS

Among 815,780 decedents (esophageal cancer: 15.3%; gastric cancer: 3.6%; hepatobiliary cancer: 36.6%; pancreatic cancer: 54.5%), most were male (60.8%), aged 55-74 years (52.3%), and White (89.1%). Most decedents died at home (55.7%), followed by inpatient hospital (24.8%), hospice (9.0%), nursing home (8.1%), and outpatient medical facility/emergency department (2.5%). During the study period, location of death shifted notably from inpatient hospital (36.8% to 21.3%) to home (45.8% to 56.3%). Residents of high Social Vulnerability Index areas were more likely to die at inpatient hospital compared with home (31.8% vs 24.3%) (P < .001). Black race (reference: White; odds ratio; 0.41, 95% confidence interval, 0.40-0.42) and social vulnerability (reference: low Social Vulnerability Index; odds ratio, 0.64, 95% confidence interval, 0.63-0.65) remained independently associated with lower odds of dying at home compared with an inpatient hospital. Notably, 65% of the overall race-based association with death at inpatient hospital was driven indirectly through social determinants of health.

CONCLUSION

Social determinants are important drivers of end-of-life care and impact the potential ability of patients with cancer to die at home.