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影响共享单车需求的特征。

Features that influence bike sharing demand.

作者信息

Cortez-Ordoñez Alexandra, Vázquez Pere-Pau, Sanchez-Espigares Jose Antonio

机构信息

ViRVIG Group Department of Computer Science, UPC-BarcelonaTECH, C/ Jordi Girona 1-3, 08034 - Barcelona, Spain.

ViRVIG Group Department of Computer Science, UPC-BarcelonaTECH, C/ Jordi Girona 1-3, Ed Omega 137, 08034 - Barcelona, Spain.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Sep 10;10(18):e37608. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e37608. eCollection 2024 Sep 30.

DOI:10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e37608
PMID:39309848
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11416270/
Abstract

During the last few years, Bike Sharing Systems (BSS) have become a popular means of transportation in several cities across the world, owing to their low costs and associated advantages. Citizens have adopted these systems as they help improve their health and contribute to creating more sustainable cities. However, customer satisfaction and the willingness to use the systems are directly affected by the ease of access to the docking stations and finding available bikes or slots. Therefore, system operators and managers' major responsibilities focus on urban and transport planning by improving the rebalancing operations of their BSS. Many approaches can be considered to overcome the unbalanced station problem, but predicting the number of arrivals and departures at the docking stations has been proven to be one of the most efficient. In this paper, we study the features that influence the prediction of bikes' arrivals and departures in Barcelona BSS, using a Random Forest model and a one-year data period. We considered features related to the weather, the stations' characteristics, and the facilities available within a 200-meter diameter of each station, called spatial features. The results indicate that features related to specific months, as well as temperature, pressure, altitude, and holidays, have a strong influence on the model, while spatial features have a small impact on the prediction results.

摘要

在过去几年中,共享单车系统(BSS)因其低成本及相关优势,已成为全球多个城市流行的交通方式。市民采用这些系统,是因为它们有助于改善健康状况并为创建更具可持续性的城市做出贡献。然而,客户满意度和使用这些系统的意愿直接受到到达自行车停放站以及找到可用自行车或车位的难易程度的影响。因此,系统运营商和管理者的主要职责集中在通过改善其共享单车系统的再平衡运营来进行城市和交通规划。可以考虑许多方法来克服站点不平衡问题,但事实证明,预测自行车停放站的到达和离开数量是最有效的方法之一。在本文中,我们使用随机森林模型和一年的数据期,研究了影响巴塞罗那共享单车系统中自行车到达和离开预测的特征。我们考虑了与天气、站点特征以及每个站点直径200米范围内可用设施相关的特征,即空间特征。结果表明,与特定月份以及温度、气压、海拔和节假日相关的特征对模型有很大影响,而空间特征对预测结果的影响较小。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbeb/11416270/ffd94f5ee070/gr007.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbeb/11416270/85e2092d8aca/gr001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbeb/11416270/a1a712d94136/gr002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbeb/11416270/3114ebbebccf/gr003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbeb/11416270/8668283a11bc/gr004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbeb/11416270/961908d696a4/gr005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbeb/11416270/5c83977f3508/gr006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbeb/11416270/ffd94f5ee070/gr007.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbeb/11416270/85e2092d8aca/gr001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbeb/11416270/a1a712d94136/gr002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbeb/11416270/3114ebbebccf/gr003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbeb/11416270/8668283a11bc/gr004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbeb/11416270/961908d696a4/gr005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbeb/11416270/5c83977f3508/gr006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cbeb/11416270/ffd94f5ee070/gr007.jpg

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本文引用的文献

1
Scalability evaluation of forecasting methods applied to bicycle sharing systems.应用于共享单车系统的预测方法的可扩展性评估。
Heliyon. 2023 Sep 19;9(10):e20129. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e20129. eCollection 2023 Oct.
2
Feature Importance in Gradient Boosting Trees with Cross-Validation Feature Selection.基于交叉验证特征选择的梯度提升树中的特征重要性
Entropy (Basel). 2022 May 13;24(5):687. doi: 10.3390/e24050687.
3
Health effects of the London bicycle sharing system: health impact modelling study.伦敦自行车共享系统的健康影响:健康影响建模研究。
BMJ. 2014 Feb 13;348:g425. doi: 10.1136/bmj.g425.
4
Use of a new public bicycle share program in Montreal, Canada.在加拿大蒙特利尔使用新的公共自行车共享计划。
Am J Prev Med. 2011 Jul;41(1):80-3. doi: 10.1016/j.amepre.2011.03.002.