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格拉斯哥预后评分及其改良评分对接受经皮冠状动脉介入治疗的冠心病患者5年预后的预测价值。

Prognostic value of Glasgow Prognostic Score and its modified scores on 5-year outcome in patients with coronary heart disease undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.

作者信息

Li Jiawen, Yan Kailun, Zhu Pei, Tang Xiaofang, Yang Yuejin, Gao Runlin, Yuan Jinqing, Zhao Xueyan

机构信息

National Clinical Research Center for Cardiovascular Diseases and State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Diseases, Fu Wai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Sep 1;10(18):e37317. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e37317. eCollection 2024 Sep 30.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) and its modified counterparts, including the modified GPS (mGPS) and hsCRP-modified GPS (hs-mGPS), are widely used inflammatory indices in clinical settings. Inflammation has gained increased attention in the context of coronary heart disease (CHD); however, its long-term predictive value in patients with CHD remains uncertain.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to assess the predictive values of GPS, mGPS, and hs-mGPS for long-term survival in patients following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

METHODS

Consecutive 10,724 PCI patients were enrolled in 2013. The primary endpoint was 5-year all-cause death.

RESULTS

This study included 8,909 patients. Individuals with high GPS, mGPS, and hs-mGPS scores exhibited a significantly higher risk of all-cause death compared to those with low scores (all P < 0.05). All three indices (GPS, mGPS, and hs-mGPS) demonstrated predictive values for all-cause death, albeit with relatively low area under the curve values of 0.534, 0.522, and 0.545, respectively. Furthermore, we refined the hs-mGPS using cutoffs (hsCRP at 2 mg/L and albumin at 40 g/L) which are better suited for these patients, to establish the CHD-hs-mGPS. This modification significantly improved the prediction of all-cause death, outperformed the mGPS and demonstrated numerical superiority over both the GPS and hs-mGPS. Notably, only CHD-hs-mGPS exhibited a predictive value for both the ACS and non-ACS subgroups.

CONCLUSION

In patients with CHD who underwent PCI, GPS, mGPS, and hs-mGPS demonstrated significant long-term predictive values for all-cause death. Our parameter-adjusted score, the CHD-hs-mGPS, is applicable to a broad population and moderately enhances the predictive accuracy, facilitating the early identification of patients at high risk of long-term death.

摘要

背景

格拉斯哥预后评分(GPS)及其改良版本,包括改良GPS(mGPS)和高敏C反应蛋白改良GPS(hs-mGPS),是临床中广泛使用的炎症指标。炎症在冠心病(CHD)背景下受到越来越多的关注;然而,其在冠心病患者中的长期预测价值仍不确定。

目的

本研究旨在评估GPS、mGPS和hs-mGPS对经皮冠状动脉介入治疗(PCI)患者长期生存的预测价值。

方法

2013年连续纳入10724例PCI患者。主要终点为5年全因死亡。

结果

本研究纳入8909例患者。与低分患者相比,GPS、mGPS和hs-mGPS评分高的个体全因死亡风险显著更高(所有P<0.05)。所有三个指标(GPS、mGPS和hs-mGPS)均显示出对全因死亡的预测价值,尽管曲线下面积值相对较低,分别为0.534、0.522和0.545。此外,我们使用更适合这些患者的临界值(高敏C反应蛋白为2mg/L,白蛋白为40g/L)对hs-mGPS进行了优化,以建立冠心病-hs-mGPS。这种改良显著改善了对全因死亡的预测,优于mGPS,并且在数值上优于GPS和hs-mGPS。值得注意的是,只有冠心病-hs-mGPS对急性冠状动脉综合征(ACS)和非ACS亚组均显示出预测价值。

结论

在接受PCI的冠心病患者中,GPS、mGPS和hs-mGPS对全因死亡具有显著的长期预测价值。我们的参数调整评分冠心病-hs-mGPS适用于广泛人群,并适度提高了预测准确性,有助于早期识别长期死亡风险高的患者。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8165/11415646/472c0087d527/ga1.jpg

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