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无所不用其极:使用多种假设生成方法调查与冷冻奶油泡芙和奶油蛋卷相关的肠炎沙门氏菌暴发。

Everything but the kitchen sink: The use of multiple hypothesis generation methods to investigate an outbreak of Enteritidis associated with frozen profiteroles and eclairs.

机构信息

Public Health Agency of Canada, Guelph, ON, Canada.

British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, BC, Canada.

出版信息

Epidemiol Infect. 2024 Sep 30;152:e107. doi: 10.1017/S0950268824001067.

Abstract

In December 2018, an outbreak of Enteritidis infections was identified in Canada by whole-genome sequencing (WGS). An investigation was initiated to identify the source of the illnesses, which proved challenging and complex. Microbiological hypothesis generation methods included comparisons of isolate sequence data to historical domestic outbreaks and international repositories. Epidemiological hypothesis generation methods included routine case interviews, open-ended centralized re-interviewing, thematic analysis of open-ended interview data, collection of purchase records, a grocery store site visit, analytic comparison to healthy control groups, and case-case analyses. Food safety hypothesis testing methods included food sample collection and analysis, and traceback investigations. Overall, 83 cases were identified across seven provinces, with onset dates from 6 November 2018 to 7 May 2019. Case ages ranged from 1 to 88 years; 60% (50/83) were female; 39% (22/56) were hospitalized; and three deaths were reported. Brand X profiteroles and eclairs imported from Thailand were identified as the source of the outbreak, and eggs from an unregistered facility were hypothesized as the likely cause of contamination. This study aims to describe the outbreak investigation and highlight the multiple hypothesis generation methods that were employed to identify the source.

摘要

2018 年 12 月,加拿大通过全基因组测序(WGS)鉴定出一起肠炎沙门氏菌感染爆发事件。为了确定疾病的来源,启动了一项调查,结果证明这是一项具有挑战性且复杂的工作。微生物学假设生成方法包括将分离株序列数据与国内历史爆发和国际存储库进行比较。流行病学假设生成方法包括常规病例访谈、开放式集中重新访谈、开放式访谈数据的主题分析、购买记录的收集、杂货店现场访问、与健康对照组的分析比较以及病例对照分析。食品安全假设检验方法包括食物样本的收集和分析以及追溯调查。总体而言,在七个省份共发现了 83 例病例,发病日期为 2018 年 11 月 6 日至 2019 年 5 月 7 日。病例年龄从 1 岁到 88 岁不等;60%(50/83)为女性;39%(22/56)住院;报告了三例死亡。从泰国进口的品牌 X 奶油泡芙和奶油蛋卷被确定为此次爆发的源头,而来自未注册设施的鸡蛋则被推测是污染的可能原因。本研究旨在描述此次爆发的调查情况,并强调用于确定源头的多种假设生成方法。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7c8c/11450506/2081f1026907/S0950268824001067_fig1.jpg

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