Thompson M E, Forbes W F
Soc Sci Med. 1985;21(7):771-3. doi: 10.1016/0277-9536(85)90125-x.
A recent paper suggested that smoking does not increase medical care expenditures and, therefore, that reduced smoking is unlikely to decrease it. This conclusion differs from that of most other studies in this area and the reasons for this disagreement are investigated. It is pointed out that medical care expenditure estimates yield different results depending on whether they are estimated on a per capita basis or in total for populations which change in size as smoking is reduced or eliminated. To avoid disagreement in future studies of this type, some specific proposals are made which should facilitate the comparison of results obtained from different studies.
最近的一篇论文表明,吸烟不会增加医疗保健支出,因此,减少吸烟不太可能降低医疗保健支出。这一结论与该领域大多数其他研究的结论不同,本文对存在这种分歧的原因进行了调查。需要指出的是,医疗保健支出估计会产生不同的结果,这取决于它们是按人均计算,还是针对因吸烟减少或消除而规模发生变化的人群按总体计算。为避免未来此类研究出现分歧,本文提出了一些具体建议,这些建议应有助于比较不同研究所得出的结果。