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评估北极航运路线对全球集装箱航运网络连通性的影响。

Assessing the impact of Arctic shipping routes on the global container shipping network's connectivity.

作者信息

Poo Mark Ching-Pong, Yang Zaili, Lau Yui-Yip, Jarumaneeroj Pisit

出版信息

Polar Geogr (Palm Beach). 2024 Sep 11;47(3):219-239. doi: 10.1080/1088937X.2024.2399775. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

Amidst the intensifying impact of climate change, the extension of navigable periods along Arctic Shipping Routes (ASRs) has garnered attention as a maritime route for container vessels. The urgency to comprehend the reverberations of ASRs on the global container shipping network (GCSN) led to the development of the Latitudinal Centrality Index (LCI), which integrates latitude and centrality in maritime analysis. This index evaluates ASRs' influence across 968 port nodes within the GCSN. By exploring scenarios encompassing seasonal fluctuations over the years, this study delves into the sway of ASRs compared to a benchmark state devoid of ASR engagement. The study's revelations highlight a discovery: the assimilation of ASRs augments interconnectivity, or resilience, within the GCSN. The GCSN thrives as a cohesive and adaptable entity upon full integration of ASRs, indicating a promising trajectory for global container shipping.

摘要

在气候变化影响日益加剧的背景下,北极航运路线(ASRs)通航期的延长作为集装箱船的一条海上航线已受到关注。了解ASRs对全球集装箱航运网络(GCSN)影响的紧迫性促使了纬度中心性指数(LCI)的开发,该指数将纬度和中心性纳入海事分析。该指数评估了ASRs对GCSN内968个港口节点的影响。通过探讨多年来包含季节性波动的情景,本研究深入研究了与未参与ASR的基准状态相比,ASRs的影响力。该研究的发现突出了一个发现:ASRs的融入增强了GCSN内的互联性或恢复力。随着ASRs的全面融入,GCSN作为一个有凝聚力且适应性强的实体蓬勃发展,这表明全球集装箱航运有着充满希望的发展轨迹。

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