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评估南非样本中特定人群与通用身高估计回归方程的准确性。

Evaluating the accuracy of population-specific versus generic stature estimation regression equations in a South African sample.

作者信息

Bidmos Mubarak, Brits Desiré

机构信息

Department of Basic Medical Sciences, College of Medicine, QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar.

Human Variation and Identification Research Unit (HVIRU), School of Anatomical Sciences, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.

出版信息

Int J Legal Med. 2025 Jan;139(1):411-418. doi: 10.1007/s00414-024-03340-x. Epub 2024 Oct 2.

DOI:10.1007/s00414-024-03340-x
PMID:39356314
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11732771/
Abstract

Accurate estimates of stature play an important role in the personal identification of unknown decedents, however a drawback in the application of many stature estimation equations is the need for known sex and population, the assignment of which can be challenging. Researchers have formulated equations for stature estimation that are neither population- nor sex-specific and thereof the aim of this study was to assess the applicability of these stature estimation equations proposed by Albanese et al.. (2016) (Albanese J, Tuck A, Gomes J, Cardoso HFV (2016) An alternative approach for estimating stature for long bones that is not population- or group-specific. Forensic Sci Int 259:59-68). The physiological length of the femur, condylar malleolar length of the tibia and a combination of these measurements, collected from Magnetic Resonance Imaging Scanograms of adult (20-60 years) White South African males (n = 30) and females (n = 44) were used to assess the accuracy of the Albanese et al. (Albanese J, Tuck A, Gomes J, Cardoso HFV (2016) An alternative approach for estimating stature for long bones that is not population- or group-specific. Forensic Sci Int 259:59-68). sex-specific and generic stature estimation equations. The stature estimates were compared with measured living stature (LSM), using paired t-tests. Results indicated that the Albanese et al. (Albanese J, Tuck A, Gomes J, Cardoso HFV (2016) An alternative approach for estimating stature for long bones that is not population- or group-specific. Forensic Sci Int 259:59-68). equations underestimated living stature by between 1.1 and 5.0 cm. These underestimations were significantly different between the LSM and the sex-specific estimates for females and the LSM and the generic estimates for males and the tibia for sex-specific equation. All stature estimates however fell in between two standard error of estimates for the sex-specific equations for males and the generic equations for the females. Although, the equations by Albanese et al. (Albanese J, Tuck A, Gomes J, Cardoso HFV (2016) An alternative approach for estimating stature for long bones that is not population- or group-specific. Forensic Sci Int 259:59-68). can be used to estimate stature in White South Africans in certain cases, the use of sex/population-specific equations remains the method of choice.

摘要

准确估计身高在未知死者的身份鉴定中起着重要作用,然而,许多身高估计方程在应用中的一个缺点是需要已知性别和人群,而确定这些信息可能具有挑战性。研究人员已经制定了非特定人群和性别的身高估计方程,因此本研究的目的是评估阿尔巴内塞等人(2016年)提出的这些身高估计方程的适用性。(阿尔巴内塞J、塔克A、戈麦斯J、卡尔多索HFV(2016年)一种用于估计长骨身高的替代方法,该方法不针对特定人群或群体。《法医学国际》259:59 - 68)。从成年(20 - 60岁)南非白人男性(n = 30)和女性(n = 44)的磁共振成像扫描图中收集的股骨生理长度、胫骨髁踝长度以及这些测量值的组合,用于评估阿尔巴内塞等人(阿尔巴内塞J、塔克A、戈麦斯J、卡尔多索HFV(2016年)一种用于估计长骨身高的替代方法,该方法不针对特定人群或群体。《法医学国际》259:59 - 68)。的性别特异性和通用身高估计方程的准确性。使用配对t检验将身高估计值与实测活体身高(LSM)进行比较。结果表明,阿尔巴内塞等人(阿尔巴内塞J、塔克A、戈麦斯J、卡尔多索HFV(2016年)一种用于估计长骨身高的替代方法,该方法不针对特定人群或群体。《法医学国际》259:59 - 68)。的方程将活体身高低估了1.1至5.0厘米。这些低估在女性的LSM与性别特异性估计值之间以及男性和胫骨的LSM与通用估计值之间存在显著差异,对于性别特异性方程。然而,所有身高估计值都落在男性性别特异性方程和女性通用方程的估计标准误差的两倍范围内。尽管阿尔巴内塞等人(阿尔巴内塞J、塔克A、戈麦斯J、卡尔多索HFV(2016年)一种用于估计长骨身高的替代方法,该方法不针对特定人群或群体。《法医学国际》259:59 - 68)。的方程在某些情况下可用于估计南非白人的身高,但使用性别/人群特异性方程仍然是首选方法。

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