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SMART-COP 评分对老年非呼吸机相关性医院获得性肺炎患者入住重症监护病房和死亡的预测能力:一项回顾性观察研究。

Ability of the SMART-COP score to predict the need for intensive care unit admission and mortality in older patients with non-ventilator-associated hospital-acquired pneumonia: A retrospective observational study.

机构信息

Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Intensive Care Medicine, University of Health Sciences, Konya City Hospital, Konya, Türkiye.

Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Geriatrics, University of Health Sciences, Konya City Hospital, Konya, Türkiye.

出版信息

Geriatr Gerontol Int. 2024 Nov;24(11):1165-1172. doi: 10.1111/ggi.14990. Epub 2024 Oct 2.

Abstract

AIM

To evaluate the ability of SMART-COP (systolic blood pressure, multilobar infiltrates, albumin, respiratory rate, tachycardia, confusion, oxygen and pH) score to predict the need for intensive care unit (ICU) admission and mortality among patients with non-ventilator-associated hospital-acquired pneumonia (NV-HAP) and to compare ICU-hospitalized patients with those followed-up in the clinic, as well as the patients who survived with those who died in the ICU, in terms of clinical and laboratory parameters.

METHODS

A total of 203 patients (aged > 65 years) who were diagnosed with NV-HAP while staying in the geriatric clinic were enrolled in this retrospective observational study. Patient information was retrieved from hospital files.

RESULTS

In a total of 203 patients with NV-HAP, the rate of ICU admission was 77.3% and the rate of mortality was 40.9%. The SMART-COP score was significantly higher in those admitted to the ICU and those died in the ICU (ICU nonsurvivors). The rate of ICU mortality was 52.9%. The SMART-COP score had significantly poor to moderate ability to predict the need for ICU admission (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.583) and both in-hospital mortality (AUC = 0.633) and ICU mortality (AUC = 0.617) with low sensitivity. The regression analysis revealed that a one-unit increase in SMART-COP score resulted in a 1.2-fold increase in both the hospital and ICU mortality (P < 0.05 for both) and 1.1-fold increase in ICU admission (P = 0.154).

CONCLUSION

The SMART-COP score has poor to moderate ability to predict the need for ICU admission, in-hospital mortality and ICU mortality, and a one-unit increase in the SMART-COP score significantly increases the risk of both hospital and ICU mortality. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2024; 24: 1165-1172.

摘要

目的

评估 SMART-COP(收缩压、多肺叶浸润、白蛋白、呼吸频率、心动过速、意识混乱、氧合和 pH 值)评分预测非呼吸机相关性医院获得性肺炎(NV-HAP)患者入住重症监护病房(ICU)和死亡的能力,并比较 ICU 住院患者与门诊随访患者、以及 ICU 存活患者与死亡患者的临床和实验室参数。

方法

这项回顾性观察研究纳入了 203 名在老年科就诊时被诊断为 NV-HAP 的年龄>65 岁的患者。从医院档案中检索患者信息。

结果

在总共 203 名 NV-HAP 患者中,入住 ICU 的比例为 77.3%,死亡率为 40.9%。入住 ICU 患者和 ICU 死亡患者的 SMART-COP 评分显著更高(ICU 非幸存者)。ICU 死亡率为 52.9%。SMART-COP 评分预测 ICU 入住需求(曲线下面积 [AUC] = 0.583)以及院内死亡率(AUC = 0.633)和 ICU 死亡率(AUC = 0.617)的能力均较差至中等,灵敏度较低。回归分析显示,SMART-COP 评分每增加 1 分,院内和 ICU 死亡率均增加 1.2 倍(两者均 P<0.05),ICU 入住率增加 1.1 倍(P=0.154)。

结论

SMART-COP 评分预测 ICU 入住需求、院内死亡率和 ICU 死亡率的能力较差至中等,SMART-COP 评分每增加 1 分,院内和 ICU 死亡率的风险均显著增加。

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