Piovani Daniele, Nikolopoulos Georgios K, Aghemo Alessio, Lleo Ana, Alqahtani Saleh A, Hassan Cesare, Repici Alessandro, Bonovas Stefanos
Department of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, Milan, Italy; IRCCS Humanitas Research Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Laboratory of Medical Statistics, Epidemiology and Public Health, Medical School, University of Cyprus, Nicosia, Cyprus.
Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2024 Oct 5. doi: 10.1016/j.cgh.2024.07.046.
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Cholelithiasis is the most well-recognized risk factor for gallbladder cancer (GBC), the predominant biliary-tract malignancy; however, credibility on other modifiable exposures remains uncertain. We performed a field-wide systematic review and meta-analysis on environmental factors associated with GBC.
We systematically searched Medline/PubMed and Embase up to May 8, 2023, to identify randomized and nonrandomized studies examining environmental factors for GBC. We conducted random-effects meta-analyses focusing on longitudinal studies. Evidence from case-control studies was considered complementary. Evidence credibility was graded by prespecified criteria including the random-effects estimate, 95% confidence interval (CI), P value, statistical heterogeneity, small-study effects, and robustness to unmeasured confounding.
We identified 215 eligible primary studies and performed 350 meta-analyses across 7 domains: lifestyle, reproductive, metabolic, dietary, infections, interventions, and contaminants and occupational exposures. Based on longitudinal evidence, body mass index (relative risk [RR] , 1.27; 95% CI, 1.21‒1.33), hip circumference (RR , 1.16; 95% CI, 1.11‒1.22), infection of bile ducts (RR, 31.7; 95% CI, 24.8-40.6), high parity (RR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.30‒1.68), obesity (RR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.44‒2.01), overweight (RR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.14‒1.43), waist circumference (RR , 1.14; 95% CI, 1.10‒1.18), and waist-to-height ratio (RR , 1.49; 95% CI, 1.36‒1.64) were robustly associated with increased GBC risk, whereas high education (RR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.49‒0.82) was associated with reduced risk (moderate-to-high credibility). Another 39 significant associations showed lower credibility, including different exposure scenarios of tobacco smoking, alcohol consumption, and insufficient physical activity.
This study offers a detailed appraisal and mapping of the evidence on modifiable factors for GBC. Further high-quality prospective studies are essential to validate emerging associations and inform preventive strategies in high-incidence areas. (Systematic review registration: CRD42023434673.).
胆结石是胆囊癌(GBC)这一主要胆道恶性肿瘤最广为人知的危险因素;然而,其他可改变的暴露因素的可信度仍不确定。我们对与GBC相关的环境因素进行了全领域的系统评价和荟萃分析。
我们系统检索了截至2023年5月8日的Medline/PubMed和Embase,以确定研究GBC环境因素的随机和非随机研究。我们针对纵向研究进行了随机效应荟萃分析。病例对照研究的证据被视为补充证据。证据可信度根据预先设定的标准进行分级,包括随机效应估计值、95%置信区间(CI)、P值、统计异质性、小研究效应以及对未测量混杂因素的稳健性。
我们确定了215项符合条件的原始研究,并在7个领域进行了350项荟萃分析:生活方式、生殖、代谢、饮食、感染、干预措施以及污染物和职业暴露。基于纵向证据,体重指数(相对风险[RR],1.27;95%CI,1.21‒1.33)、臀围(RR,1.16;95%CI,1.11‒1.22)、胆管感染(RR,31.7;95%CI,24.8 - 40.6)、多产(RR,1.48;95%CI,1.30‒1.68)、肥胖(RR,1.70;95%CI,1.44‒2.01)、超重(RR,1.28;95%CI,1.14‒1.43)、腰围(RR,1.14;95%CI,1.10‒1.18)和腰高比(RR,1.49;95%CI,1.36‒1.64)与GBC风险增加密切相关,而高学历(RR,0.63;95%CI,0.49‒0.82)与风险降低相关(中到高可信度)。另外39个显著关联的可信度较低,包括吸烟、饮酒和身体活动不足的不同暴露情况。
本研究对GBC可改变因素的证据进行了详细评估和梳理。进一步的高质量前瞻性研究对于验证新出现的关联并为高发地区的预防策略提供信息至关重要。(系统评价注册号:CRD42023434673。)