Shao Lei, Zhao Liangqi, Liu Hongli, Zhang Delong, Li Ji, Li Chao
School of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin 30384, China.
ACS Omega. 2024 Sep 19;9(39):40496-40510. doi: 10.1021/acsomega.4c03524. eCollection 2024 Oct 1.
The remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) needs to be accurately predicted to enhance equipment safety and battery management system design. Currently, a single machine learning approach (including an improved machine learning approach) has poor generalization performance due to stochasticity, and the combined prediction approach lacks sufficient theoretical support at the same time. In this paper, we first analyze the prediction principles and applicability of models such as long and short-term memory networks and random forests, and then propose a method for predicting the RUL of batteries based on the integration of multiple-model, and finally validate the proposed model by using experimental data. The experimental results show that (1) for the proposed model, in the best case, the root-mean-square error (RMSE) does not exceed 0.14%, which has a stronger generalization; (2) for the comparison with the single model used, the average RMSE is reduced by 46.2%, 43.7%, and 80.6%, which has a better fitting performance. These results show that the model has good prediction accuracy and application prospects for predicting the RUL of energy storage batteries.
为提高设备安全性和电池管理系统设计水平,需要准确预测锂离子电池(LIB)的剩余使用寿命(RUL)。目前,单一的机器学习方法(包括改进的机器学习方法)由于具有随机性,泛化性能较差,而组合预测方法同时缺乏足够的理论支持。在本文中,我们首先分析了长短期记忆网络和随机森林等模型的预测原理及适用性,然后提出了一种基于多模型融合的电池剩余使用寿命预测方法,最后利用实验数据对所提出的模型进行了验证。实验结果表明:(1)对于所提出的模型,在最佳情况下,均方根误差(RMSE)不超过0.14%,具有较强的泛化能力;(2)与所使用的单一模型相比,平均RMSE分别降低了46.2%、43.7%和80.6%,具有更好的拟合性能。这些结果表明,该模型在预测储能电池的剩余使用寿命方面具有良好的预测精度和应用前景。