OBJECTIVES

Prognostic prediction using objective indices is needed to optimize the indications for transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). We evaluated the impact of the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS), an International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-based frailty index, on the prognosis after TAVR in the late elderly.

METHODS

We identified patients aged ≥75 years undergoing TAVR from April 2014 to September 2020 from the Shizuoka Kokuho Database (SKDB). Cox logistic regression analysis was performed to examine predictors of long-term mortality. We also evaluated the relationship between HFRS categories (low risk: <5, intermediate risk: 5-15, high risk: >15) and functional decline.

RESULTS

This study involved 607 patients (189 (31.1%) men) with a mean age of 85.0 years. During the median follow-up period of 20 months, survival significantly differed among HFRS categories (survival at two years; low (HFRS <5): 88.9%, intermediate (HFRS 5-15): 82.6%, high (HFRS >15): 67.7%; log-rank p = 0.002). In the multivariate regression model, male sex (hazard ratio (HR): 2.15, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.42-3.24), preoperative care needs level of ≥3 (HR: 2.43, 95% CI: 1.17-5.06), and HFRS (HR: 1.07, 95% CI: 1.03-1.12) were significant predictors of mortality. Functional decline-free survival significantly differed among HFRS categories (event-free survival at two years; low: 79.4%, intermediate: 75.2%, high: 50.8%; log-rank p = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The HFRS is a predictor of long-term mortality after TAVR in the late elderly and is associated with postoperative functional decline. The HFRS can provide additional information for decision-making regarding treatment strategies for the late elderly.