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各社会经济群体的终生医疗支出。

Lifetime healthcare expenditures across socioeconomic groups.

机构信息

Aarhus University and PeRCent, Fuglesangs Allé 4, 8210, Aarhus, Denmark.

Present Address: University of Southern Denmark, Campusvej 55, 5230, Odense, Denmark.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2024 Oct 9;24(1):2751. doi: 10.1186/s12889-024-20209-1.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

A socioeconomic gradient affects healthcare expenditures and longevity in opposite directions as less affluent individuals have higher current healthcare expenditures but simultaneously enjoy shorter lives. Yet, it is unclear whether this cross-sectional healthcare expenditure gradient persists from a lifetime perspective. This paper analyzes lifetime healthcare expenditures across socioeconomic groups using detailed individual-level healthcare expenditure data for the entire Danish population.

METHOD

Using full population healthcare expenditures from Danish registries, we estimate lifetime healthcare expenditures as age-specific mean healthcare expenditures times the probability of being alive at each age. Our data enables the estimation of lifetime healthcare expenditures by sex, socioeconomic status, and by various types of healthcare expenditure.

RESULTS

Once we account for mortality differences and all types of healthcare expenditures, all socioeconomic groups spend an almost equal amount on healthcare throughout a lifetime. Lower socioeconomic groups incur the lowest lifetime hospital expenditures, whereas higher socioeconomic groups experience the highest lifetime expenditures on long-term care services. Our findings remain robust across various socioeconomic measures and alternative estimation methodologies.

CONCLUSION

Improving the health status of lower socioeconomic groups to align with that of higher socioeconomic groups is costly but may ultimately reduce current healthcare expenditures. Enhanced health outcomes likely increase lifespan, leading to extended periods of healthcare consumption. However, since all socioeconomic groups tend to have similar lifetime healthcare expenditures, this prolonged consumption has limited impact on overall lifetime healthcare costs. Additionally, a significant benefit is the deferment of healthcare expenditures into the future. Overall, our results diminish concerns about socially inequitable utilization of healthcare resources while socioeconomic differences in health and longevity persist, even in a universal healthcare system.

摘要

背景

社会经济梯度对医疗保健支出和寿命的影响方向相反,因为较不富裕的个体当前的医疗保健支出较高,但同时寿命较短。然而,从终身的角度来看,这种横断面医疗保健支出梯度是否持续尚不清楚。本文使用丹麦全体人口的详细个人医疗保健支出数据,分析了各社会经济群体的终身医疗保健支出。

方法

我们利用丹麦注册中心的全人群医疗保健支出数据,通过特定年龄的医疗保健支出均值乘以每个年龄的存活概率来估算终身医疗保健支出。我们的数据能够根据性别、社会经济地位以及各种类型的医疗保健支出来估算终身医疗保健支出。

结果

一旦我们考虑到死亡率差异和所有类型的医疗保健支出,所有社会经济群体在一生中的医疗保健支出几乎相等。社会经济地位较低的群体在终身医院支出方面支出最低,而社会经济地位较高的群体在长期护理服务方面的终身支出最高。我们的研究结果在各种社会经济衡量标准和替代估计方法中均具有稳健性。

结论

提高社会经济地位较低群体的健康状况,使其与社会经济地位较高的群体相匹配,代价高昂,但最终可能会降低当前的医疗保健支出。健康结果的改善可能会延长寿命,导致医疗保健消费的延长。然而,由于所有社会经济群体的终身医疗保健支出都趋于相似,因此这种延长的消费对总体终身医疗保健成本的影响有限。此外,一个显著的好处是将医疗保健支出推迟到未来。总体而言,我们的研究结果减轻了对在社会健康和寿命存在差异的情况下,医疗资源利用不公平的担忧,即使在全民医疗保健体系中也是如此。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3027/11463145/5e8f4fc10c92/12889_2024_20209_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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