• 文献检索
  • 文档翻译
  • 深度研究
  • 学术资讯
  • Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件
  • 邀请有礼
  • 套餐&价格
  • 历史记录
应用&插件
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件浏览器插件Mac 客户端Windows 客户端微信小程序
定价
高级版会员购买积分包购买API积分包
服务
文献检索文档翻译深度研究API 文档MCP 服务
关于我们
关于 Suppr公司介绍联系我们用户协议隐私条款
关注我们

Suppr 超能文献

核心技术专利:CN118964589B侵权必究
粤ICP备2023148730 号-1Suppr @ 2026

文献检索

告别复杂PubMed语法,用中文像聊天一样搜索,搜遍4000万医学文献。AI智能推荐,让科研检索更轻松。

立即免费搜索

文件翻译

保留排版,准确专业,支持PDF/Word/PPT等文件格式,支持 12+语言互译。

免费翻译文档

深度研究

AI帮你快速写综述,25分钟生成高质量综述,智能提取关键信息,辅助科研写作。

立即免费体验

新政青年就业计划的终身影响。

The Lifetime Impacts of the New Deal's Youth Employment Program.

作者信息

Aizer Anna, Early Nancy, Eli Shari, Imbens Guido, Lee Keyoung, Lleras-Muney Adriana, Strand Alexander

机构信息

Brown University, United States.

Social Security Administration, United States.

出版信息

Q J Econ. 2024 Jun 8;139(4):2579-2635. doi: 10.1093/qje/qjae016. eCollection 2024 Nov.

DOI:10.1093/qje/qjae016
PMID:39391630
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11461809/
Abstract

We study the lifetime effects of the first and largest American youth employment and training program in the United States-the Civilian Conservation Corps (CCC), 1933-1942. We match newly digitized enrollee records to census, World War II enlistment, Social Security, and death records. We find that longer service in the CCC led to improvements in height, health status, longevity, geographic mobility, and lifetime earnings but did not improve short-term labor market outcomes, including employment and wages. We address potential selection into CCC duration using several approaches, most importantly two newly developed control-function approaches that leverage unbiased estimates of the short-term effects of a randomized controlled trial of Job Corps (the modern version of the CCC). Our findings suggest that short- and medium-term evaluations of employment programs underestimate effects because they fail to capture lifetime effects and often ignore or underestimate health and longevity benefits that increase in magnitude at later ages.

摘要

我们研究了美国首个也是规模最大的青年就业和培训项目——平民保育团(CCC,1933年至1942年)的终身影响。我们将新数字化的入伍者记录与人口普查、二战入伍、社会保障和死亡记录进行匹配。我们发现,在CCC服役时间更长会带来身高、健康状况、寿命、地理流动性和终身收入的改善,但不会改善短期劳动力市场结果,包括就业和工资。我们使用几种方法来处理CCC服役时长的潜在选择问题,最重要的是两种新开发的控制函数方法,它们利用了对就业团(CCC的现代版本)随机对照试验短期影响的无偏估计。我们的研究结果表明,就业项目的短期和中期评估低估了影响,因为它们未能捕捉到终身影响,并且往往忽略或低估了在晚年时规模会增加的健康和长寿益处。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/24a7/11461809/41ca8eb463cb/qjae016fig6.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/24a7/11461809/d85fd161e37d/qjae016fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/24a7/11461809/92032723ae27/qjae016fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/24a7/11461809/11692e13a681/qjae016fig3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/24a7/11461809/6b14132dc5c7/qjae016fig4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/24a7/11461809/582f3f2c5d1c/qjae016fig5.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/24a7/11461809/41ca8eb463cb/qjae016fig6.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/24a7/11461809/d85fd161e37d/qjae016fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/24a7/11461809/92032723ae27/qjae016fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/24a7/11461809/11692e13a681/qjae016fig3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/24a7/11461809/6b14132dc5c7/qjae016fig4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/24a7/11461809/582f3f2c5d1c/qjae016fig5.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/24a7/11461809/41ca8eb463cb/qjae016fig6.jpg

相似文献

1
The Lifetime Impacts of the New Deal's Youth Employment Program.新政青年就业计划的终身影响。
Q J Econ. 2024 Jun 8;139(4):2579-2635. doi: 10.1093/qje/qjae016. eCollection 2024 Nov.
2
The civilian labor market experiences of Vietnam-era veterans: the influence of psychiatric disorders.越战时期退伍军人的平民劳动力市场经历:精神疾病的影响。
J Ment Health Policy Econ. 2000 Dec 1;3(4):199-207. doi: 10.1002/mhp.102.
3
Promoting Readiness of Minors in Supplemental Security Income (PROMISE): Early Impacts from a Multi-Site Random Assignment Evaluation.未成年人补充保障收入计划准备情况研究(PROMISE):多地点随机分配评估的早期影响。
Eval Rev. 2021 Oct;45(5):228-270. doi: 10.1177/0193841X211055588. Epub 2021 Nov 23.
4
Lifetime earnings patterns, the distribution of future Social Security benefits, and the impact of pension reform.终身收入模式、未来社会保障福利的分配以及养老金改革的影响。
Soc Secur Bull. 2000;63(4):74-98.
5
Economic effects of recent immigration on American workers.近期移民对美国工人的经济影响。
Migr World Mag. 1988;16(1):7-15.
6
Increasing earnings of social security disability income beneficiaries with serious mental disorder.患有严重精神障碍的社会保障残疾收入受益人收入增加。
J Ment Health Policy Econ. 2014 Jun;17(2):75-90.
7
Folic acid supplementation and malaria susceptibility and severity among people taking antifolate antimalarial drugs in endemic areas.在流行地区,服用抗叶酸抗疟药物的人群中,叶酸补充剂与疟疾易感性和严重程度的关系。
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2022 Feb 1;2(2022):CD014217. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD014217.
8
A longitudinal evaluation of government-sponsored job skills training and basic employment services among U.S. baby boomers with economic disadvantages.经济劣势的美国婴儿潮一代接受政府资助的职业技能培训和基本就业服务的纵向评估。
Eval Program Plann. 2020 Oct;82:101845. doi: 10.1016/j.evalprogplan.2020.101845. Epub 2020 Jun 26.
9
Recovery schools for improving behavioral and academic outcomes among students in recovery from substance use disorders: a systematic review.改善物质使用障碍康复期学生行为和学业成果的康复学校:一项系统综述
Campbell Syst Rev. 2018 Oct 4;14(1):1-86. doi: 10.4073/csr.2018.9. eCollection 2018.
10
The Development and Evaluation of a Cross-Context Employment Program for Autistic Adolescents.一项针对自闭症青少年的跨情境就业项目的开发与评估
Autism Adulthood. 2023 Dec 1;5(4):457-467. doi: 10.1089/aut.2022.0010. Epub 2023 Dec 12.

本文引用的文献

1
A Unified Model of Cohort Mortality.队列死亡率的统一模型
Demography. 2022 Dec 1;59(6):2109-2134. doi: 10.1215/00703370-10286336.
2
Long-Term Effects of Local-Area New Deal Work Relief in Childhood on Educational, Economic, and Health Outcomes Over the Life Course: Evidence From the Wisconsin Longitudinal Study.儿童时期当地新政工作救济对人生过程中教育、经济和健康结果的长期影响:来自威斯康星纵向研究的证据。
Demography. 2022 Aug 1;59(4):1489-1516. doi: 10.1215/00703370-10111856.
3
Selection with Variation in Diagnostic Skill: Evidence from Radiologists.
诊断技能存在差异情况下的选择:来自放射科医生的证据。
Q J Econ. 2022 Jan 21;137(2):729-783. doi: 10.1093/qje/qjab048. eCollection 2022 May.
4
How Much Is a Human Life Worth? A Systematic Review.一条人命价值几何?系统评价
Value Health. 2021 Oct;24(10):1531-1541. doi: 10.1016/j.jval.2021.04.003. Epub 2021 May 25.
5
How Well Do Automated Linking Methods Perform? Lessons from U.S. Historical Data.自动链接方法的表现如何?来自美国历史数据的经验教训。
J Econ Lit. 2020 Dec;58(4):997-1044. doi: 10.1257/jel.20191526.
6
Summer jobs reduce violence among disadvantaged youth.暑期工作减少弱势青年的暴力行为。
Science. 2014 Dec 5;346(6214):1219-23. doi: 10.1126/science.1257809.
7
The Social Security Administration's Death Master File: the completeness of death reporting at older ages.社会保障管理局的死亡主文件:老年人群死亡报告的完整性。
Soc Secur Bull. 2001;64(1):45-51.
8
A peculiar population: the nutrition, health, and mortality of American slaves from childhood to maturity.一个特殊的群体:美国奴隶从童年到成年期的营养、健康与死亡率
J Econ Hist. 1986;46(3):721-41. doi: 10.1017/s0022050700046842.