Campbell Allison M, Bracken Cameron, Underwood Scott, Voisin Nathalie
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA.
University of Washington, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Seattle, WA, 98195, USA.
Sci Data. 2024 Oct 11;11(1):1121. doi: 10.1038/s41597-024-03894-w.
As renewable energy continues its rapid expansion in the Unites States, multi-decadal hourly datasets of electricity production are needed to asses reliability and resource adequacy of power grids. Recent years have seen the release of grid-cell-level simulated meteorological variables, however these are not extended to the power domain, are not developed from a dynamically consistent numerical weather model, and only cover a historical baseline of less than a decade. To fill this gap, this work provides a dataset of 43 years of coincident plant-level wind and solar power production data. The dataset is designed to be aggregated to appropriate scales of interest for bulk system studies such as Balancing Authorities (BAs), states, and nodes of a production cost model. The dataset covers every plant in the contiguous U.S. that is reported in the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) Form 860 as of 2020. When compared with the EIA-923 monthly generation, we find minimal bias (less than 5%). When compared with BA-reported hourly generation, we find low bias in solar (less than 7%), and slight underdispersion in wind. This coincident multi-decadal historical dataset provides a documented and evaluated multi-resource baseline for studies on reliability, resource adequacy, climate change impacts, and characterization of emergent climate threats on renewable resources.
随着可再生能源在美国持续快速扩张,需要数十年的每小时电力生产数据集来评估电网的可靠性和资源充足性。近年来,已发布了网格单元级模拟气象变量,但这些变量未扩展到电力领域,不是从动态一致的数值天气模型中得出的,且仅涵盖不到十年的历史基线。为填补这一空白,本研究提供了一个包含43年同期电厂级风能和太阳能发电数据的数据集。该数据集旨在汇总到适合大规模系统研究(如平衡机构(BA)、州和生产成本模型节点)的感兴趣尺度。该数据集涵盖了截至2020年美国能源信息管理局(EIA)860表中报告的美国本土的每个电厂。与EIA - 923月度发电量相比,我们发现偏差极小(小于5%)。与BA报告的每小时发电量相比,我们发现太阳能偏差较低(小于7%),风能略有欠分散。这个同期的数十年历史数据集为可靠性、资源充足性、气候变化影响以及可再生资源新出现气候威胁特征研究提供了一个有记录和评估的多资源基线。