National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis, Univeristy of California, Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, 93101, USA.
Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, NM, 88003, USA.
Sci Rep. 2024 Oct 11;14(1):23864. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-74208-8.
Understanding the relationship between various socioeconomic factors and urban forest structure is essential for directing resources to ensure equitable distribution of green space. Through a case study of a desert city, i.e., Phoenix, AZ, this study provides a novel application of Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) in which we explore the spatially variable relationships between a wide array of socioeconomic indicators and urban forest attributes. Through the computation of various scales of influence for different explanatory variables, MGWR enhances our analysis's precision and stresses the association between socioeconomic status and urban forest structure at local and regional scales. Our results indicate that although there has been a pattern of green inequality where minority and low-income communities have less access to urban forests, education levels were mostly insignificant based on the MGWR results. In some instances, higher incomes are negatively correlated with tree canopy coverage. Additionally, the stem density model outperformed the canopy coverage model in terms of prediction accuracy. This research adds a new dimension to urban forestry literature and emphasizes the value of customized urban planning strategies and the environmental justice implications of urban forestry, particularly in arid environments.
理解各种社会经济因素与城市森林结构之间的关系对于指导资源分配以确保绿地公平分配至关重要。本研究通过对沙漠城市菲尼克斯(Phoenix)的案例研究,为多尺度地理加权回归(MGWR)提供了新的应用,其中我们探索了广泛的社会经济指标与城市森林属性之间的空间变化关系。通过计算不同解释变量的各种影响尺度,MGWR 提高了我们分析的精度,并强调了社会经济地位与城市森林结构在局部和区域尺度上的联系。我们的研究结果表明,尽管存在绿色不平等现象,即少数族裔和低收入社区获得城市森林的机会较少,但根据 MGWR 的结果,教育水平大多并不显著。在某些情况下,较高的收入与树冠覆盖率呈负相关。此外,在预测精度方面,树干密度模型优于树冠覆盖率模型。这项研究为城市林业文献增添了新的维度,并强调了定制城市规划策略和城市林业的环境正义意义,特别是在干旱环境中。