Department of Medical Big Data Research Centre, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, 1MinDe Road, Nanchang, 330006, People's Republic of China.
School of Public Health, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, People's Republic of China.
BMC Geriatr. 2024 Oct 12;24(1):829. doi: 10.1186/s12877-024-05400-8.
Stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) is a common complication in stroke patients, and the Barthel Index (BI) is a well-established metric for assessing activities of daily living (ADL). However, the association between BI and SAP in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients remains unclear. This study aims to investigate the relationship between BI at admission and SAP, and explore the factors in AIS elderly patients.
Retrospective data were collected from ischemic stroke patients hospitalized at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University between January 2018 and July 2021, including their basic demographic and laboratory test results. Restricted cubic spline regression, multivariate logistic regression analysis, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were employed to investigate the relationship between BI and SAP. Additionally, the Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was used to identify the factors influencing SAP.
The study included 7,548 eligible stroke patients with a mean age of 75.1 ± 7.6 years, among which 41.14% were female. The SAP group demonstrated significantly lower BI compared to the non-SAP group (50.86 ± 35.60 vs. 75.27 ± 26.33, P < 0.001). Additionally, a conspicuous trend of decreasing SAP risk across the Q1-4 groups was observed (P < 0.001). The RCS analysis further confirmed a gradual reduction in SAP risk with increasing BI. Based on the clinical model, both the BI (NRI = 0.014, P = 0.005; IDI = 0.04, P < 0.001) and the NIHSS score (NRI = 0.09, P = 0.03; IDI = 0.025, P < 0.001) demonstrated additional predictive value for SAP. Multivariate logistic regression and SHAP analysis identified WBC, CONUT, TG, UA, and RBC levels, as well as the type of health insurance (urban employee basic medical insurance), as important independent predictors of SAP.
BI at admission constitutes a risk factor for the onset of SAP in elderly patients with AIS, Compared to the NIHSS and mRS score, BI may be a more reliable and practical predictor of SAP.
卒中相关性肺炎(SAP)是卒中患者的常见并发症,而巴氏指数(BI)是评估日常生活活动(ADL)的常用指标。然而,BI 与急性缺血性卒中(AIS)患者 SAP 之间的关系尚不清楚。本研究旨在探讨入院时 BI 与 SAP 的关系,并探讨 AIS 老年患者的相关因素。
回顾性收集 2018 年 1 月至 2021 年 7 月南昌大学第二附属医院住院的缺血性卒中患者的基本人口统计学和实验室检查结果。采用受限立方样条回归、多变量逻辑回归分析和受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析来探讨 BI 与 SAP 的关系。此外,还采用 Shapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)方法来识别影响 SAP 的因素。
本研究共纳入 7548 例符合条件的卒中患者,平均年龄为 75.1±7.6 岁,其中 41.14%为女性。SAP 组的 BI 明显低于非 SAP 组(50.86±35.60 vs. 75.27±26.33,P<0.001)。此外,随着 BI 的增加,SAP 风险逐渐降低,Q1-4 组之间存在显著差异(P<0.001)。RCS 分析进一步证实,随着 BI 的增加,SAP 风险逐渐降低。基于临床模型,BI(NRI=0.014,P=0.005;IDI=0.04,P<0.001)和 NIHSS 评分(NRI=0.09,P=0.03;IDI=0.025,P<0.001)均显示出对 SAP 的额外预测价值。多变量逻辑回归和 SHAP 分析确定 WBC、CONUT、TG、UA 和 RBC 水平以及健康保险类型(城镇职工基本医疗保险)是 SAP 的重要独立预测因素。
入院时 BI 是 AIS 老年患者 SAP 发病的危险因素,与 NIHSS 和 mRS 评分相比,BI 可能是 SAP 更可靠和实用的预测指标。