Malinović-Milićević Slavica, Micić Jasna, Denda Stefan, Stanojević Gorica, Petrović Marko D, Gajić Tamara
Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijić SASA, 9 Đure Jakšića St, Belgrade, 11000, Serbia.
Institute of Environmental Engineering, Peoples' Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University), 6 Miklukho- Maklaya St, Moscow, 117198, Russian Federation.
Int J Biometeorol. 2025 Jan;69(1):157-175. doi: 10.1007/s00484-024-02800-8. Epub 2024 Oct 14.
The climate and thermal comfort of а destination greatly influence the tourism industry. Therefore, this study was focused on researching thermal comfort changes and their impacts on visitors in four highly visited coastal destinations along the eastern Adriatic coast (Pula, Zadar, Split, and Dubrovnik) from 1996 to 2020, using the modified physiologically equivalent temperature index (mPET). The specific objective was to assess how the thermal comfort conditions are distributed spatially and temporally and how they are suitable for beach and sightseeing tourism. Results showed that monthly mean mPET values have increased, except in May. In the summer season, tourists were often exposed to uncomfortable heat stress, especially in the middle of the day. Strong and extreme heat stress frequency significantly increased in all sites except in Pula, particularly in July and August. Prevailing neutral and slightly warm/cold conditions were concentrated in two periods, between April and June and in September and October. The maximum occurrence of optimal climatic conditions for enjoying the beach was in the summer, with a decreasing tendency from May to August. The occurrence of favorable conditions for sightseeing significantly increased in April and November while it decreased from July to September. Although the eastern Adriatic coast is primarily a summer tourist area, a relatively small number of tourists take advantage of the period with optimal thermal comfort. Despite the fact that the number of tourists in the shoulder seasons has increased significantly in the past 25 years, the increasing favorable thermal comfort in the changing climate conditions will make these seasons even more appealing in the future, especially for sightseeing activities. New strategies for adapting to a changing climate are therefore needed.
一个目的地的气候和热舒适度对旅游业有很大影响。因此，本研究聚焦于利用修正的生理等效温度指数（mPET），研究1996年至2020年亚得里亚海东岸四个热门沿海目的地（普拉、扎达尔、斯普利特和杜布罗夫尼克）的热舒适度变化及其对游客的影响。具体目标是评估热舒适条件在空间和时间上的分布情况，以及它们对海滩和观光旅游的适宜程度。结果表明，除了5月，月平均mPET值有所上升。在夏季，游客经常面临不舒服的热应激，尤其是在中午时分。除了普拉，所有地点的强烈和极端热应激频率都显著增加，特别是在7月和8月。普遍的中性和略暖/略冷条件集中在两个时期，即4月至6月以及9月和10月。享受海滩的最佳气候条件的最大出现时间是在夏季，从5月到8月呈下降趋势。4月和11月观光有利条件的出现显著增加，而从7月到9月则减少。尽管亚得里亚海东岸主要是夏季旅游区，但利用最佳热舒适度时期的游客相对较少。尽管在过去25年中，平季的游客数量显著增加，但在气候变化条件下不断增加的有利热舒适度将使这些季节在未来更具吸引力，尤其是对于观光活动。因此，需要新的适应气候变化的策略。
