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利用光伏发电元件参数分析逆变器效率

Analysis of Inverter Efficiency Using Photovoltaic Power Generation Element Parameters.

作者信息

Lim Su-Chang, Kim Byung-Gyu, Kim Jong-Chan

机构信息

Department of Computer Engineering, Sunchon National University, Suncheon 57992, Republic of Korea.

Division of AI Engineering, Sookmyung Women's University, Seoul 04310, Republic of Korea.

出版信息

Sensors (Basel). 2024 Oct 2;24(19):6390. doi: 10.3390/s24196390.

Abstract

Photovoltaic power generation is influenced not only by variable environmental factors, such as solar radiation, temperature, and humidity, but also by the condition of equipment, including solar modules and inverters. In order to preserve energy production, it is essential to maintain and operate the equipment in optimal condition, which makes it crucial to determine the condition of the equipment in advance. This paper proposes a method of determining a degradation of efficiency by focusing on photovoltaic equipment, especially inverters, using LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) for maintenance. The deterioration in the efficiency of the inverter is set based on the power generation predicted through the LSTM model. To this end, a correlation analysis and a linear analysis were performed between the power generation data collected at the power plant to learn the power generation prediction model and the data collected by the environmental sensor. With this analysis, a model was trained using solar radiation data and power data that are highly correlated with power generation. The results of the evaluation of the model's performance show that it achieves a MAPE of 7.36, an RMSE of 27.91, a MAE of 18.43, and an R2 of 0.97. The verified model is applied to the power generation data of the selected inverters for the years 2020, 2021, and 2022. Through statistical analysis, it was determined that the error rate in 2022, the third year of its operation, increased by 159.55W on average from the error rate of the power generation forecast in 2020, the first year of operation. This indicates a 0.75% decrease in the inverter's efficiency compared to the inverter's power generation capacity. Therefore, it is judged that it can be applied effectively to analyses of inverter efficiency in the operation of photovoltaic plants.

摘要

光伏发电不仅受太阳辐射、温度和湿度等可变环境因素的影响,还受包括太阳能组件和逆变器在内的设备状况的影响。为了维持能源生产,将设备维持在最佳状态并进行运行至关重要,这使得提前确定设备状况变得至关重要。本文提出了一种通过关注光伏设备,尤其是逆变器,使用长短期记忆网络(LSTM)进行维护来确定效率退化的方法。基于通过LSTM模型预测的发电量来设定逆变器效率的下降情况。为此,对在发电厂收集的用于学习发电量预测模型的发电数据与环境传感器收集的数据之间进行了相关性分析和线性分析。通过该分析,使用与发电量高度相关的太阳辐射数据和功率数据对模型进行了训练。模型性能评估结果表明,其平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)为7.36,均方根误差(RMSE)为27.91,平均绝对误差(MAE)为18.43,决定系数(R2)为0.97。将经过验证的模型应用于2020年、2021年和2022年所选逆变器的发电数据。通过统计分析确定,在其运行的第三年即2022年,误差率比运行第一年即2020年的发电量预测误差率平均增加了159.55W。这表明与逆变器的发电容量相比,逆变器的效率下降了0.75%。因此,判断该模型可有效应用于光伏电站运行中逆变器效率的分析。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3bc1/11479329/fc318ec97560/sensors-24-06390-g001.jpg

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