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术前血清胱抑素C作为肾细胞癌患者生存的独立预后因素

Preoperative Serum Cystatin C as an Independent Prognostic Factor for Survival in Patients with Renal Cell Carcinoma.

作者信息

Ma Hui, Wang Peipei, Hou Zhao, Zhou Huiyu, Lv Dingyang, Cui Fan, Shuang Weibing

机构信息

School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan 030001, China.

Grand Hospital of Shuozhou, Shuozhou 036000, China.

出版信息

J Cancer. 2024 Sep 23;15(18):5978-5985. doi: 10.7150/jca.97711. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

This study aims to evaluate the prognostic significance of preoperative serum cystatin C (Cys-C) in patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC). We analyzed clinicopathological data and follow-up information of 624 RCC patients who underwent partial or radical nephrectomy at our institution. The optimal cutoff value of Cys-C was determined using X-tile software. Survival outcomes, including overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS), were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. To avoid overfitting and collinearity, we used LASSO-based multivariable Cox regression analysis to identify independent predictors of OS and CSS. The predictive accuracy of the established model, including preoperative serum Cys-C, was evaluated using the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the area under the curve (AUC). The median follow-up period was 40 months. The optimal cutoff value of preoperative serum Cys-C levels was 0.95 mg/L. Compared with the low Cys-C group, patients in the high Cys-C group had significantly shorter OS and CSS. Multivariable Cox regression analysis indicated that elevated preoperative serum Cys-C level was an independent adverse predictor for RCC patients post-nephrectomy. After adjusting for all covariates, high preoperative serum Cys-C level was associated with worse OS (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.254; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.144, 4.439; = 0.019) and CSS (HR: 3.621; 95% CI: 1.386, 9.456; = 0.009). Time-dependent ROC analysis demonstrated that our model, including preoperative serum Cys-C, performed well in predicting accuracy of survival. Preoperative serum Cys-C level is an effective prognostic indicator for OS and CSS in RCC patients undergoing nephrectomy.

摘要

本研究旨在评估术前血清胱抑素C(Cys-C)在肾细胞癌(RCC)患者中的预后意义。我们分析了在我院接受部分或根治性肾切除术的624例RCC患者的临床病理资料和随访信息。使用X-tile软件确定Cys-C的最佳截断值。采用Kaplan-Meier法和对数秩检验评估总生存(OS)和癌症特异性生存(CSS)等生存结局。为避免过度拟合和共线性,我们使用基于LASSO的多变量Cox回归分析来确定OS和CSS的独立预测因素。使用时间依赖性受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线和曲线下面积(AUC)评估包括术前血清Cys-C在内的建立模型的预测准确性。中位随访期为40个月。术前血清Cys-C水平的最佳截断值为0.95mg/L。与低Cys-C组相比,高Cys-C组患者的OS和CSS明显更短。多变量Cox回归分析表明,术前血清Cys-C水平升高是肾切除术后RCC患者的独立不良预测因素。在调整所有协变量后,术前血清Cys-C水平高与较差的OS(风险比[HR]:2.254;95%置信区间[CI]:1.144,4.439;P = 0.019)和CSS(HR:3.621;95%CI:1.386,9.456;P = 0.009)相关。时间依赖性ROC分析表明,我们的模型(包括术前血清Cys-C)在预测生存准确性方面表现良好。术前血清Cys-C水平是接受肾切除术的RCC患者OS和CSS的有效预后指标。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b1ce/11493004/f800a5e442ca/jcav15p5978g001.jpg

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