Ma Hui, Wang Peipei, Hou Zhao, Zhou Huiyu, Lv Dingyang, Cui Fan, Shuang Weibing
School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan 030001, China.
Grand Hospital of Shuozhou, Shuozhou 036000, China.
J Cancer. 2024 Sep 23;15(18):5978-5985. doi: 10.7150/jca.97711. eCollection 2024.
This study aims to evaluate the prognostic significance of preoperative serum cystatin C (Cys-C) in patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC). We analyzed clinicopathological data and follow-up information of 624 RCC patients who underwent partial or radical nephrectomy at our institution. The optimal cutoff value of Cys-C was determined using X-tile software. Survival outcomes, including overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS), were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. To avoid overfitting and collinearity, we used LASSO-based multivariable Cox regression analysis to identify independent predictors of OS and CSS. The predictive accuracy of the established model, including preoperative serum Cys-C, was evaluated using the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the area under the curve (AUC). The median follow-up period was 40 months. The optimal cutoff value of preoperative serum Cys-C levels was 0.95 mg/L. Compared with the low Cys-C group, patients in the high Cys-C group had significantly shorter OS and CSS. Multivariable Cox regression analysis indicated that elevated preoperative serum Cys-C level was an independent adverse predictor for RCC patients post-nephrectomy. After adjusting for all covariates, high preoperative serum Cys-C level was associated with worse OS (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.254; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.144, 4.439; = 0.019) and CSS (HR: 3.621; 95% CI: 1.386, 9.456; = 0.009). Time-dependent ROC analysis demonstrated that our model, including preoperative serum Cys-C, performed well in predicting accuracy of survival. Preoperative serum Cys-C level is an effective prognostic indicator for OS and CSS in RCC patients undergoing nephrectomy.
本研究旨在评估术前血清胱抑素C(Cys-C)在肾细胞癌(RCC)患者中的预后意义。我们分析了在我院接受部分或根治性肾切除术的624例RCC患者的临床病理资料和随访信息。使用X-tile软件确定Cys-C的最佳截断值。采用Kaplan-Meier法和对数秩检验评估总生存(OS)和癌症特异性生存(CSS)等生存结局。为避免过度拟合和共线性,我们使用基于LASSO的多变量Cox回归分析来确定OS和CSS的独立预测因素。使用时间依赖性受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线和曲线下面积(AUC)评估包括术前血清Cys-C在内的建立模型的预测准确性。中位随访期为40个月。术前血清Cys-C水平的最佳截断值为0.95mg/L。与低Cys-C组相比,高Cys-C组患者的OS和CSS明显更短。多变量Cox回归分析表明,术前血清Cys-C水平升高是肾切除术后RCC患者的独立不良预测因素。在调整所有协变量后,术前血清Cys-C水平高与较差的OS(风险比[HR]:2.254;95%置信区间[CI]:1.144,4.439;P = 0.019)和CSS(HR:3.621;95%CI:1.386,9.456;P = 0.009)相关。时间依赖性ROC分析表明,我们的模型(包括术前血清Cys-C)在预测生存准确性方面表现良好。术前血清Cys-C水平是接受肾切除术的RCC患者OS和CSS的有效预后指标。